Rockets vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 29

  • The Rockets are -7.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on KJZZ | SCHN

The Houston Rockets visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Salt Lake City, UT.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Rockets vs Jazz Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 41-29 against the spread, while the Jazz are 37-36 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets-7.5 -115O 229.5 -110-350
Utah Jazz +7.5 -105U 229.5 -110+260

Jazz vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Friday‘s game with 70.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Jazz.

Jazz vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+15.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 32 away games (+12.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 41 of their last 69 games (+12.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 78 games (+11.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 away games (+10.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+9.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+9.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.80 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 41-29 (+9.1 Units / 11.49% ROI).

  • 37-35 against the Moneyline (+8.55 Units / 7.08% ROI)
  • 34-37 against the Over for game total points (-6.7 Units / -8.45% ROI)
  • 37-34 against the Under for game total points (-0.35 Units / -0.44% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 37-36 (-2.55 Units / -3.18% ROI).

  • 29-44 against the Moneyline (-11.1 Units / -11.65% ROI)
  • 39-32 against the Over for game total points (+3.8 Units / 4.73% ROI)
  • 32-39 against the Under for game total points (-10.9 Units / -13.57% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 73 games (-23.85 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 79 games (-23.65 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 31 games (-22.55 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 78 games (-18.90 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 74 games (-18.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 75 games (-17.70 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 31 away games (-17.20 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 31 away games (-15.80 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 78 games (-15.25 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 66 games (-13.80 Units / -18% ROI)

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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Rockets were 5-21 (.192) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Jazz are 5-1 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .598

The Jazz are winless (0-17) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .178

The Jazz are 18-36 (.333) when they lose the turnover margin this season — T-6th-worst in the NBA. The Rockets have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game this season — 9th-lowest in the NBA.

The Jazz are 5-15 (.250) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .423

Injury Report: Jazz vs. RocketsFriday‘s Game, Mar. 29

  • Otto Porter Jr. (Utah Jazz): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out For Season
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Out

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets averaged 8.1 turnovers per game (665 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 15.6 turnovers per game (1,137 turnovers/73 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz have averaged 15.9 second chance points per game (1,226 points/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz averaged 55.9 points in the paint per game (2,290 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Jazz have averaged 15.5 turnovers per game (2,396 turnovers/155 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have allowed 22.4 fast break points per game (808 points/36 games) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.8

The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (1,078/2,713) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Jazz have averaged 6.1 steals per game (470 steals/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Jazz have averaged 6.6 steals per game (479 steals/73 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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