Rockets vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 10, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Kings are -6.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSCA | SCHN

The Houston Rockets visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Sacramento, CA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Rockets vs Kings Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 33-28 against the spread, while the Kings are 31-30 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+6.5 -110O 233.5 -105+220
Sacramento Kings -6.5 -110U 233.5 -115-275

Kings vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Sunday‘s game with 76.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Kings.

Kings vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 47 of their last 79 games (+13.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 28 away games (+12.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 away games (+11.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 away games (+11.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 44 of their last 75 games (+11.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 74 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.25 Units / 35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 33-28 (+2.25 Units / 3.25% ROI).

  • 28-35 against the Moneyline (-2.8 Units / -3.09% ROI)
  • 28-33 against the Over for game total points (-8.3 Units / -11.98% ROI)
  • 33-28 against the Under for game total points (+2.2 Units / 3.17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 31-30 (-2.1 Units / -3.06% ROI).

  • 36-26 against the Moneyline (-15.75 Units / -11.39% ROI)
  • 32-28 against the Over for game total points (+1.2 Units / 1.76% ROI)
  • 28-32 against the Under for game total points (-7.2 Units / -10.56% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games at home (-37.65 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 85 games (-21.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 84 games (-19.50 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 76 games (-15.55 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 66 games (-15.55 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 79 games (-21.20 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 38 away games (-16.60 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 71 games (-14.80 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 32 away games (-14.45 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 38 away games (-14.40 Units / -31% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were 12-44 (.214) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Kings are 22-1 (.957) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .793

The Kings are winless (0-10) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .089

The Kings are 19-3 (.864) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .780

The Kings are 19-6 (.760) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

Injury Report: Kings vs. RocketsSunday‘s Game, Mar. 10

  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
  • Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out For Season
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Out

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (892 assists/ 666 TOs) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings averaged 24.7 points per game (1,578 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.9

The Kings have averaged 118.6 points per game (6,167 points/52 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (232 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have allowed 6.9 offensive rebounds per game (358 rebounds/52 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.4

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (478 blocks/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (360/858) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.