Rockets vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 12

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 12, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Rockets are -7.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSDT | SCHN

The Houston Rockets visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Detroit, MI.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Rockets vs Pistons Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 20-14 against the spread, while the Pistons are 14-23 against the spread.


Bet now on Pistons vs Rockets and all NBA games with BetMGM


Rockets vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets-8.5 -105O 226.5 -110-350
Detroit Pistons +8.5 -115U 226.5 -110+280

Pistons vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Friday‘s game with 75.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Rockets and Pistons, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Pistons vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


Bet now on Pistons vs Rockets and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 46 of their last 74 games (+15.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 38 of their last 60 games (+14.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 51 games (+14.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 48 games (+13.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+10.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 70 games (+19.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 70 games (+16.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 20-14 (+4.6 Units / 11.6% ROI).

  • 18-18 against the Moneyline (+5.45 Units / 10.55% ROI)
  • 16-19 against the Over for game total points (-4.9 Units / -12.37% ROI)
  • 19-16 against the Under for game total points (+1.4 Units / 3.54% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 14-23 (-11.2 Units / -26.89% ROI).

  • 3-35 against the Moneyline (-31.8 Units / -81.02% ROI)
  • 23-14 against the Over for game total points (+7.6 Units / 18.2% ROI)
  • 14-23 against the Under for game total points (-11.35 Units / -27.12% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 75 games (-56.85 Units / -72% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 75 games (-28.55 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 70 games (-27.45 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 75 games (-25.45 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 74 games (-24.00 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 74 games (-22.40 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 35 away games (-19.20 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 69 games (-15.20 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 away games (-14.80 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 73 games (-14.20 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were 14-28 (.333) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Rockets are winless (0-8) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .355

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Pistons are 2-12 (.143) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .569

The Pistons were 6-30 (.167) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 12-45 (.211) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

Injury Report: Pistons vs. RocketsFriday‘s Game, Jan. 12

  • Joe Harris (Detroit Pistons): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
  • Monte Morris (Detroit Pistons): Quadriceps, Out
  • Jared Rhoden (Detroit Pistons): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jeff Green (Houston Rockets): Personal, Game Time Decision
  • Victor Oladipo (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out
  • Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jock Landale (Houston Rockets): Illness, Game Time Decision

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets averaged 8.1 turnovers per game (665 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons have made 10.5 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

The Pistons shot 45% (1,646/3,632) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Pistons are shooting 34% from three (185/542) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets have allowed 9.6 fast break points per game (345 points/36 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.2

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons have averaged 6.2 steals per game (236 steals/38 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,298 rebounds/38 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pistons have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,054 rebounds/120 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


Bet now on Pistons vs Rockets and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.