Rockets vs Raptors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 09, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Raptors are -2.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Watch the game on SCHN

The Houston Rockets visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Toronto, ON.

The Raptors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Rockets vs Raptors Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 26-22 against the spread, while the Raptors are 23-27 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+1.5 -110O 234.5 -110+105
Toronto Raptors -1.5 -110U 234.5 -110-125

Raptors vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Raptors will win Friday‘s game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Raptors.

Raptors vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 53.3% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 74 games (+14.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 39 of their last 66 games (+10.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 away games (+9.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 62 games (+9.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+11.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games (+10.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 74 games (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 26-22 (+1.85 Units / 3.36% ROI).

  • 23-27 against the Moneyline (-2.1 Units / -2.84% ROI)
  • 24-25 against the Over for game total points (-3.5 Units / -6.36% ROI)
  • 25-24 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -2.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 23-27 (-6.7 Units / -11.93% ROI).

  • 18-33 against the Moneyline (-20.95 Units / -26.93% ROI)
  • 28-23 against the Over for game total points (+2.7 Units / 4.81% ROI)
  • 23-28 against the Under for game total points (-7.75 Units / -13.83% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 71 games (-26.10 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 71 games (-20.00 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 56 games (-19.95 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 46 games (-19.80 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-18.45 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 36 away games (-20.90 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 73 games (-19.65 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 37 away games (-17.45 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 68 games (-16.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 76 games (-15.00 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Rockets were 6-22 (.214) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Rockets are winless (0-13) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

The Rockets were 16-35 (.314) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Rockets are 5-46 (.098) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .328

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Raptors are 9-13 (.409) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Rockets have averaged 12.7 turnovers per game this season — 8th-lowest in the NBA.

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors are 5-20 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .349

The Raptors were 23-16 (.590) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Injury Report: Raptors vs. RocketsFriday‘s Game, Feb. 9

  • Immanuel Quickley (Toronto Raptors): Quadriceps, Game Time Decision
  • Jakob Poeltl (Toronto Raptors): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Markquis Nowell (Toronto Raptors): Hamstring, Out
  • RJ Barrett (Toronto Raptors): Knee, Out
  • Victor Oladipo (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Game Time Decision

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (892 assists/ 666 TOs) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 5.8 turnovers per game (476 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Raptors have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (2,360 points/133 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Raptors averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (956 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Raptors have averaged 19.4 fast break points per game (1,243 points/64 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors blocked 424 shots last season — 10th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.