Rockets vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 12, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Rockets are -4.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on KENS | SCHN

The Houston Rockets visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in San Antonio, TX.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Rockets vs Spurs Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 34-28 against the spread, while the Spurs are 32-33 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets-3.5 -105O 222.5 -110-150
San Antonio Spurs +3.5 -115U 222.5 -110+125

Spurs vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Tuesday‘s game with 67.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Spurs.

Spurs vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 29 away games (+11.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 46 of their last 76 games (+11.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 47 of their last 79 games (+10.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 away games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 away games (+9.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 80 games (+20.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+13.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 43 games (+12.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 48 of their last 80 games (+11.20 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 34-28 (+3.2 Units / 4.55% ROI).

  • 29-35 against the Moneyline (-0.7 Units / -0.76% ROI)
  • 28-35 against the Over for game total points (-10.5 Units / -14.9% ROI)
  • 35-28 against the Under for game total points (+4.25 Units / 6.04% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 32-33 (-4.3 Units / -6.01% ROI).

  • 14-51 against the Moneyline (-19.4 Units / -28.57% ROI)
  • 31-32 against the Over for game total points (-4.2 Units / -5.87% ROI)
  • 32-31 against the Under for game total points (-2.1 Units / -2.94% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 60 games (-24.75 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 30 of their last 77 games (-23.00 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 67 games (-19.35 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 80 games (-16.40 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 68 games (-16.20 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-22.05 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 39 away games (-18.10 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 72 games (-17.95 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 28 away games (-16.00 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 33 away games (-14.55 Units / -38% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets are winless (0-13) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 2-30 (.062) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs are 4-18 (.182) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Spurs are 3-28 (.097) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Spurs are 2-17 (.105) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426

Injury Report: Spurs vs. RocketsTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 12

  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season
  • Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out For Season
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Out

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,529 assists/ 1,010 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets averaged 8.1 turnovers per game (665 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs had 21.2 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Spurs have averaged 1.23 points per shot (15,326 points/12,506 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs are shooting 33% from three (331/999) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,943 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 52% (1,901/3,693) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (3,780/7,460) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.