Rockets vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Suns are -10.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Watch the game on KTVK | SCHN

The Houston Rockets visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Phoenix, AZ.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Rockets vs Suns Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 29-28 against the spread, while the Suns are 24-33 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+9.5 -110O 233.5 -110+333
Phoenix Suns -9.5 -110U 233.5 -110-450

Suns vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Saturday‘s game with 86.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Suns.

Suns vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 54 games (+12.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 75 games (+11.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 19 of their last 26 away games (+11.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 away games (+11.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 46 of their last 79 games (+10.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 58 of their last 88 games (+25.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 47 games at home (+23.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 87 games (+21.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 54 of their last 89 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 1H Spread in 49 of their last 83 games (+12.60 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 29-28 (-1.75 Units / -2.7% ROI).

  • 25-34 against the Moneyline (-7.15 Units / -8.58% ROI)
  • 26-31 against the Over for game total points (-8.1 Units / -12.48% ROI)
  • 31-26 against the Under for game total points (+2.4 Units / 3.7% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 24-33 (-12.55 Units / -19.23% ROI).

  • 35-24 against the Moneyline (-3.65 Units / -2.53% ROI)
  • 27-32 against the Over for game total points (-8.2 Units / -12.63% ROI)
  • 32-27 against the Under for game total points (+2.3 Units / 3.54% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 86 games (-37.40 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 86 games (-34.65 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 88 games (-34.60 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 89 games (-32.15 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 34 of their last 86 games (-21.25 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 37 away games (-19.75 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 77 games (-19.10 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 38 away games (-18.80 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 67 games (-14.75 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 37 away games (-14.00 Units / -34% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 6-22 (.214) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were 14-28 (.333) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Suns are winless (0-13) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .089

The Suns were 22-8 (.733) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Suns were 28-17 (.622) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

Injury Report: Suns vs. RocketsSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 2

  • Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out
  • Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out For Season
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Out

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (892 assists/ 666 TOs) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (691 assists/ 411 TOs) on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Suns have averaged 1.37 points per shot (6,222 points/4,545 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Suns have 24.6 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets have allowed 10.8 fast break points per game (572 points/53 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/53 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Suns have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (316 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.