Rockets vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -7.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSN | SCHN

The Houston Rockets visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Rockets vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 25-21 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 24-24 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+7.5 -115O 222.5 -110+230
Minnesota Timberwolves -7.5 -105U 222.5 -110-300

Timberwolves vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Sunday‘s game with 74.4% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Rockets and Timberwolves, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Timberwolves vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 away games (+11.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 60 games (+11.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+10.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 38 of their last 64 games (+10.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 76 games (+19.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 27 games at home (+17.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 64 games (+16.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+11.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 64 games (+7.00 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 25-21 (+1.9 Units / 3.6% ROI).

  • 23-25 against the Moneyline (-0.1 Units / -0.14% ROI)
  • 23-24 against the Over for game total points (-3.4 Units / -6.44% ROI)
  • 24-23 against the Under for game total points (-1.3 Units / -2.46% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 24-24 (-2.4 Units / -4.45% ROI).

  • 34-15 against the Moneyline (+1.9 Units / 1.29% ROI)
  • 23-25 against the Over for game total points (-4.5 Units / -8.34% ROI)
  • 25-23 against the Under for game total points (-0.25 Units / -0.46% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 78 games (-28.20 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games at home (-25.50 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 78 games (-23.00 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 81 games (-15.55 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 64 games (-14.30 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-19.55 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 71 games (-19.40 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 34 away games (-18.90 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 66 games (-16.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 36 away games (-16.45 Units / -39% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were 8-19 (.296) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Timberwolves are undefeated (8-0) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571

The Timberwolves are 12-5 (.706) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .587

The Timberwolves were 23-14 (.622) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Timberwolves are 2-5 (.286) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .371

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. RocketsSunday‘s Game, Feb. 4

  • Mike Conley (Minnesota Timberwolves): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Game Time Decision
  • Victor Oladipo (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Game Time Decision

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (892 assists/ 666 TOs) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,290 assists/ 738 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Timberwolves have averaged 113.0 points per game (5,535 points/49 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

The Timberwolves averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Timberwolves are shooting 49% (2,845/5,787) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,769 rebounds/48 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,793 rebounds/49 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Timberwolves averaged 8.0 steals per game (657 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Timberwolves averaged 5.4 blocks per game (444 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves stole the ball 657 times last season — 5th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.