Rockets vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 12, 2024, 4:32 PM
  • The Rockets are -5.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points
  • Watch the game on RTNW | SCHN

The Houston Rockets visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Portland, OR.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Rockets vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 43-35 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 39-39 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets-6.5 -110O 219.5 -110-250
Portland Trail Blazers +6.5 -110U 219.5 -110+200

Trail Blazers vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Friday‘s game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 55.6% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 36 away games (+12.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 79 games (+11.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 36 away games (+10.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+10.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 79 games (+14.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 games (+12.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+9.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.25 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 43-35 (+4.5 Units / 5.11% ROI).

  • 39-41 against the Moneyline (+0.4 Units / 0.3% ROI)
  • 41-38 against the Over for game total points (-0.8 Units / -0.91% ROI)
  • 38-41 against the Under for game total points (-7.05 Units / -8.02% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 39-39 (-3.9 Units / -4.43% ROI).

  • 21-59 against the Moneyline (-14.95 Units / -17.67% ROI)
  • 39-41 against the Over for game total points (-6.1 Units / -6.93% ROI)
  • 41-39 against the Under for game total points (-1.85 Units / -2.1% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 79 games (-25.80 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 70 games (-22.50 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 32 games (-20.25 Units / -60% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 80 games (-20.05 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 63 games (-17.70 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 35 away games (-19.65 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 35 away games (-16.35 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 74 games (-15.50 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 80 games (-14.95 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 60 games (-14.45 Units / -22% ROI)

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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were 5-21 (.192) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Trail Blazers are 8-32 (.200) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA. The Rockets have averaged 12.7 turnovers per game this season — T-7th-lowest in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers are 1-10 (.091) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .428

The Trail Blazers are 3-13 (.188) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

The Trail Blazers are winless (0-20) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .144

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. RocketsFriday‘s Game, Apr. 12

  • Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers): Groin, Out
  • Rayan Rupert (Portland Trail Blazers): Ankle, Out
  • Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Elbow, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season
  • Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out For Season
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Out

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets averaged 8.1 turnovers per game (665 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (876 assists/ 612 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Trail Blazers have a TS% of 48% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 51% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,856 assists/ 1,224 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Rockets have averaged 7.9 steals per game (629 steals/80 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,601 rebounds/80 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,339 rebounds/162 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (347 blocks/80 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.