- The Warriors are -3.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
- Total (Over/Under): 202.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT | Max | truTV | NSBA
The Houston Rockets visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in San Francisco, CA, CA.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).
The Rockets vs Warriors Over/Under is 202.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 44-41 against the spread, while the Warriors are 44-40 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Houston Rockets | +3.5 -105 | O 202.5 -105 | +145 |
| Golden State Warriors | -3.5 -115 | U 202.5 -115 | -175 |
Warriors vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Warriors.
Warriors vs Rockets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 29 games (+18.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 52 of their last 84 games (+16.92 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 51 of their last 84 games (+15.58 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 41 away games (+15.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 41 away games (+14.00 Units / 30% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 20 games (+15.75 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+14.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games (+12.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 36 games (+12.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 41% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 44-41 (-1.1 Units / -1.18% ROI).
- 53-32 against the Moneyline (-4.4 Units / -2.04% ROI)
- 44-40 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
- 40-44 against the Under for game total points (-8.3 Units / -8.89% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 44-40 (-0.1 Units / -0.11% ROI).
- 51-35 against the Moneyline (-22.2 Units / -9% ROI)
- 42-44 against the Over for game total points (-6.4 Units / -6.77% ROI)
- 44-42 against the Under for game total points (-2.2 Units / -2.33% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 76 games (-47.05 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 71 games (-30.45 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 66 games (-22.55 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 76 games (-20.82 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 70 games (-19.95 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-23.10 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 70 games (-21.45 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 78 games (-17.83 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 37 games (-15.80 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 52 games (-15.65 Units / -26% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Rockets are 10-30 (.250) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-9th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have made 15.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-highest in the NBA.
The Rockets are 1-16 (.059) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .238
The Rockets are 38-12 (.760) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .660
The Rockets are 18-3 (.857) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .706
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Warriors are 23-6 (.793) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551
The Warriors are 19-6 (.760) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .706
The Warriors are 12-5 (.706) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574
The Warriors are 39-12 (.765) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .660
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets are shooting 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Rockets have averaged 22.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,844 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 3.7 second chance points per game (222 points/60 games) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7
The Warriors have an eFG% of 50% in close and late situations this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Warriors shot 32% from three (152/479) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Warriors had 20.0 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,957 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Rockets averaged 4.6 blocks per game (374 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Rockets have averaged 8.4 steals per game (689 steals/82 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (768 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Warriors have averaged 9.4 steals per game (771 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Warriors have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,906 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
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