Spurs vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 17, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Celtics are -15.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBSB | BSSW

The San Antonio Spurs visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston, MA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-115).

The Spurs vs Celtics Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 18-21 against the spread, while the Celtics are 20-18 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+15.5 -105O 238.5 -110+900
Boston Celtics -15.5 -115U 238.5 -110-1600

Celtics vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Wednesday‘s game with 95.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Spurs and Celtics, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Celtics vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 61 games (+16.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 58 games (+13.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+10.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 42 of their last 71 games (+10.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 57 of their last 89 games (+24.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 68 of their last 89 games (+23.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in their last 19 games at home (+19.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 30 of their last 44 games at home (+14.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 97 games (+14.45 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 18-21 (-5 Units / -11.68% ROI).

  • 7-32 against the Moneyline (-19.85 Units / -49.13% ROI)
  • 22-16 against the Over for game total points (+4.4 Units / 10.26% ROI)
  • 16-22 against the Under for game total points (-8.2 Units / -19.11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 20-18 (+0.25 Units / 0.57% ROI).

  • 31-9 against the Moneyline (+14.35 Units / 8.85% ROI)
  • 22-18 against the Over for game total points (+2.2 Units / 5% ROI)
  • 18-22 against the Under for game total points (-6.2 Units / -14.09% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 97 games (-25.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 97 games (-19.15 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 63 games (-19.15 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 93 games (-17.50 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 93 games (-17.20 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 34 games (-25.15 Units / -72% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the Spread in 28 of their last 75 games (-23.60 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 76 games (-21.70 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 44 games (-20.40 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 64 games (-19.95 Units / -28% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs are 2-25 (.074) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Spurs are 10-51 (.164) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

The Spurs were 1-44 (.022) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Celtics are 27-5 (.844) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Celtics are 27-5 (.844) when scoring 110 or more points this season — best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed 121.4 points per game this season — 5th-worst in the NBA.

The Celtics were 44-17 (.721) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

The Celtics are 14-5 (.737) when they win the turnover margin this season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Spurs have averaged 14.8 turnovers per game this season — T-5th-highest in the NBA.

Injury Report: Celtics vs. SpursWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 17

  • Kristaps Porzingis (Boston Celtics): Calf, Game Time Decision
  • Sir’Jabari Rice (San Antonio Spurs): Undisclosed, Game Time Decision

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 1.19 points per shot (6,719 points/5,634 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs are shooting 33% from three (243/739) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs are shooting 32% from three (225/708) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs have averaged 1.24 points per shot (2,176 points/1,761 shots) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have made 16.6 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 16.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Celtics made 16.0 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed 124.7 points per game (5,114 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.9

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Spurs have allowed a TS% of 54% in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (2,203 points/1,876 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,664 rebounds/122 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 38.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,552 rebounds/40 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.