Spurs vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 07, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Heat are -8.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on SUN | BSSW

The San Antonio Spurs visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami, FL.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Spurs vs Heat Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 24-26 against the spread, while the Heat are 23-28 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+7.5 -105O 226.5 -110+275
Miami Heat -7.5 -115U 226.5 -110-350

Heat vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Wednesday‘s game with 77.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Heat.

Heat vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 72 games (+16.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 69 games (+12.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+10.45 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 away games (+10.35 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 4Q Spread in 19 of their last 28 games (+10.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 75 games (+19.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 81 games (+18.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 52 of their last 84 games (+18.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 50 of their last 83 games (+18.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 56 of their last 93 games (+14.55 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 24-26 (-4.5 Units / -8.2% ROI).

  • 10-40 against the Moneyline (-22.4 Units / -42.3% ROI)
  • 26-23 against the Over for game total points (+0.65 Units / 1.18% ROI)
  • 23-26 against the Under for game total points (-5.6 Units / -10.19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 23-28 (-7.7 Units / -13.74% ROI).

  • 27-24 against the Moneyline (-3.45 Units / -4.15% ROI)
  • 21-30 against the Over for game total points (-12 Units / -21.39% ROI)
  • 30-21 against the Under for game total points (+6.9 Units / 12.3% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 83 games (-26.70 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 97 games (-25.50 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 100 games (-22.35 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 60 games (-19.80 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 54 games (-19.75 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 45 games (-27.70 Units / -58% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 78 games (-21.50 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 75 games (-19.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 62 games (-17.35 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 69 games (-16.00 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

Keys to the game – away

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Heat are 1-6 (.143) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .403

The Heat are 21-7 (.750) when scoring 110 or more points this season — T-7th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed 120.9 points per game this season — 5th-worst in the NBA.

The Heat are 8-3 (.727) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Heat were 12-3 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

Injury Report: Heat vs. SpursWednesday‘s Game, Feb. 7

  • Duncan Robinson (Miami Heat): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season
  • Sidy Cissoko (San Antonio Spurs): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Zach Collins (San Antonio Spurs): Ankle, Game Time Decision

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

Away Team Offense Stories

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4

The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Heat are shooting 42% (235/561) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Heat have a TS% of 47% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (517/1,300) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,036/2,651) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

Home Team Defense Stories


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.