Spurs vs Hornets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 19

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 19, 2024, 4:32 PM
  • The Hornets are -4.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSCH | BSSW

The San Antonio Spurs visit Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Charlotte, NC.

The Hornets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Spurs vs Hornets Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 18-22 against the spread, while the Hornets are 14-24 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Hornets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+4.5 -110O 235.5 -105+155
Charlotte Hornets -4.5 -110U 235.5 -115-190

Hornets vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hornets will win Friday‘s game with 64.9% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Spurs and Hornets, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Hornets vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 62 games (+15.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 59 games (+14.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 59 games (+11.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in their last 7 games (+11.00 Units / 149% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 47 of their last 74 games (+18.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+16.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 69 games (+14.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+13.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.10 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 18-22 (-6.1 Units / -13.9% ROI).

  • 7-33 against the Moneyline (-20.85 Units / -50.36% ROI)
  • 22-17 against the Over for game total points (+3.3 Units / 7.5% ROI)
  • 17-22 against the Under for game total points (-7.2 Units / -16.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 14-24 (-12.35 Units / -29.62% ROI).

  • 8-30 against the Moneyline (-10.15 Units / -25.6% ROI)
  • 19-19 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 19-19 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 74 games (-26.70 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 74 games (-25.65 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 44 games (-24.35 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 73 games (-23.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 74 games (-23.35 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 35 games (-26.15 Units / -73% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the Spread in 28 of their last 76 games (-24.70 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 65 games (-21.05 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 77 games (-20.70 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 77 games (-18.45 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs are 2-25 (.074) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .445

The Spurs are winless (0-6) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Spurs were 2-23 (.080) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Hornets are 2-6 (.250) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

The Hornets are 1-12 (.077) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .417

The Hornets were 7-28 (.200) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Hornets are 2-14 (.125) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .430

Injury Report: Hornets vs. SpursFriday‘s Game, Jan. 19

  • Cody Martin (Charlotte Hornets): Knee, Out
  • LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets): Ankle, Out
  • Frank Ntilikina (Charlotte Hornets): Lower Leg, Game Time Decision
  • Mark Williams (Charlotte Hornets): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Sir’Jabari Rice (San Antonio Spurs): Undisclosed, Game Time Decision

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs are shooting 31% from three (232/742) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs averaged 23% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,739 free throw attempts/7,593 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

The Spurs are shooting 33% from three (246/753) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets are shooting 45% from three (78/173) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Hornets shot 33% from three (881/2,669) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hornets averaged 109.2 points per game (4,479 points/41 games) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Hornets are shooting 45% (2,332/5,158) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (3,780/7,460) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (517/1,300) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs have allowed a TS% of 54% in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,234 rebounds/38 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hornets averaged 5.2 blocks per game (425 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Hornets have allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (4,575 points/3,341 shots) this season — tied for highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.29

The Hornets have allowed opponents to shoot 44% from three (318/728) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.