Spurs vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 27, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Jazz are -3.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on KJZZ | BSSW

The San Antonio Spurs visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Salt Lake City, UT.

The Jazz are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Spurs vs Jazz Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 36-36 against the spread, while the Jazz are 37-35 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+4.5 -110O 228.5 -110+155
Utah Jazz -4.5 -110U 228.5 -110-190

Jazz vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Jazz will win Wednesday‘s game with 60.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Jazz.

Jazz vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+18.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 78 games (+17.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games (+13.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 39 games (+13.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games (+8.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.75 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 36-36 (-3.6 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 16-56 against the Moneyline (-19.75 Units / -25.77% ROI)
  • 33-37 against the Over for game total points (-7.7 Units / -9.72% ROI)
  • 37-33 against the Under for game total points (+0.7 Units / 0.88% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 37-35 (-1.45 Units / -1.83% ROI).

  • 29-43 against the Moneyline (-9.45 Units / -10.1% ROI)
  • 38-32 against the Over for game total points (+2.8 Units / 3.54% ROI)
  • 32-38 against the Under for game total points (-9.8 Units / -12.37% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 72 games (-22.70 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 78 games (-22.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 30 games (-20.90 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 73 games (-19.30 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 79 games (-18.20 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 67 games (-25.10 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 74 games (-24.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 74 games (-22.35 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 73 games (-18.45 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 71 games (-18.25 Units / -22% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Spurs were 1-13 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs were 1-44 (.022) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Spurs are 5-32 (.135) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Jazz are winless (0-17) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .176

The Jazz are winless (0-4) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .402

The Jazz are 5-1 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .602

The Jazz are 7-19 (.269) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

Injury Report: Jazz vs. SpursWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 27

  • Otto Porter Jr. (Utah Jazz): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs had 21.2 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Spurs averaged 1.23 points per shot (4,473 points/3,651 shots) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Spurs averaged 23% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,739 free throw attempts/7,593 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 8.8 second chance points per game (634 points/72 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Jazz averaged 58.8 points per game (4,823 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Jazz have averaged 16.2 second chance points per game (585 points/36 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz have averaged 16.2 second chance points per game (2,496 points/154 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (1,820/3,571) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (3,780/7,460) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Spurs allowed 124.7 points per game (5,114 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.9

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have allowed 18.7 fast break points per game (1,344 points/72 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4

The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (565/1,365) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Jazz have averaged 6.5 steals per game (471 steals/72 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (1,062/2,680) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.