Spurs vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 7

  • The Kings are -10.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSCA | BSSW

The San Antonio Spurs visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).

The Spurs vs Kings Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 30-32 against the spread, while the Kings are 31-29 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+10.5 -105O 235.5 -110+425
Sacramento Kings -10.5 -115U 235.5 -110-600

Kings vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Thursday‘s game with 87.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Kings.

Kings vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 55.0% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 77 games (+15.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+14.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+12.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games (+12.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+10.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 73 games (+8.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.45 Units / 45% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 30-32 (-5.1 Units / -7.49% ROI).

  • 13-49 against the Moneyline (-23.25 Units / -35.8% ROI)
  • 29-31 against the Over for game total points (-5.15 Units / -7.55% ROI)
  • 31-29 against the Under for game total points (-0.9 Units / -1.32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 31-29 (-1 Units / -1.48% ROI).

  • 35-26 against the Moneyline (-16.75 Units / -12.71% ROI)
  • 31-28 against the Over for game total points (+0.2 Units / 0.3% ROI)
  • 28-31 against the Under for game total points (-6.1 Units / -9.09% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games at home (-38.65 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 86 games (-21.05 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 83 games (-17.00 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 75 games (-16.55 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 37 games at home (-15.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 57 games (-28.55 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 74 games (-20.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 64 games (-18.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 79 games (-15.90 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 31 away games (-15.90 Units / -51% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs are 1-7 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Spurs are 4-18 (.182) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Spurs are 3-28 (.097) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Kings are 22-1 (.957) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .793

The Kings were 29-16 (.644) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Kings are 24-4 (.857) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .595

The Kings were 23-12 (.657) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

Injury Report: Kings vs. SpursThursday‘s Game, Mar. 7

  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs are shooting 32% from three (317/982) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs are shooting 34% from three (670/1,965) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs had 21.2 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings shot 50% (1,722/3,452) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (3,780/7,460) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,781 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (1,820/3,571) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (203 blocks/52 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Kings have allowed 6.9 offensive rebounds per game (358 rebounds/52 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.4

The Kings have averaged 7.2 steals per game (374 steals/52 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Kings have allowed 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (758 rebounds/52 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.5


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