Spurs vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 23, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Lakers are -9.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSW | SPEC

The San Antonio Spurs visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Los Angeles, CA.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Spurs vs Lakers Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 26-30 against the spread, while the Lakers are 27-31 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+9.5 -105O 240.5 -110+360
Los Angeles Lakers -9.5 -115U 240.5 -110-500

Lakers vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Friday‘s game with 86.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Lakers.

Lakers vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 78 games (+18.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+15.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 43 of their last 71 games (+12.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 75 games (+9.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 46 games at home (+18.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 98 games (+14.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 49 games at home (+12.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 49 games at home (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+10.80 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 26-30 (-6.9 Units / -11.22% ROI).

  • 11-45 against the Moneyline (-25.5 Units / -43.26% ROI)
  • 28-27 against the Over for game total points (-1.75 Units / -2.84% ROI)
  • 27-28 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -6.17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 27-31 (-7.15 Units / -11.2% ROI).

  • 31-27 against the Moneyline (+6.5 Units / 5.9% ROI)
  • 31-27 against the Over for game total points (+1.3 Units / 2.04% ROI)
  • 27-31 against the Under for game total points (-7.15 Units / -11.2% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 77 games (-25.85 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 95 games (-20.95 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 91 games (-18.25 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 43 of their last 98 games (-17.75 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 38 of their last 91 games (-16.75 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 51 games (-30.80 Units / -58% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 68 games (-19.65 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 58 games (-17.55 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 79 games (-17.40 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 78 games (-16.95 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs are 4-18 (.182) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Spurs were 1-44 (.022) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Spurs were 1-13 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Lakers are 7-2 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .631

The Lakers were 4-13 (.235) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Lakers were 20-16 (.556) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Lakers are 13-6 (.684) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

Injury Report: Lakers vs. SpursFriday‘s Game, Feb. 23

  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Out
  • Max Christie (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs are shooting 32% from three (317/982) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs are shooting 33% from three (331/999) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs have a 23% free throw rate (2,830 free throw attempts/12,506 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.4 second chance points per game (237 points/54 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 8.1 fast break points per game (1,108 points/136 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Lakers have averaged 10.0 second chance points per game (541 points/54 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (3,780/7,460) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (517/1,300) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Spurs averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,781 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 7.9 steals per game (426 steals/54 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,991 rebounds/54 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Lakers have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,107 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.