Spurs vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 14, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Mavericks are -10.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 241.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSW+ | BSSW

The San Antonio Spurs visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Spurs vs Mavericks Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 25-29 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 28-26 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+11.5 -115O 242.5 -110+450
Dallas Mavericks -11.5 -105U 242.5 -110-650

Mavericks vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Wednesday‘s game with 87.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 76 games (+14.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+14.10 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 69 games (+10.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 73 games (+10.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games (+16.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+13.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 59 games (+9.55 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 25-29 (-6.8 Units / -11.47% ROI).

  • 11-43 against the Moneyline (-23.5 Units / -41.26% ROI)
  • 27-26 against the Over for game total points (-1.65 Units / -2.78% ROI)
  • 26-27 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -6.23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 28-26 (-0.55 Units / -0.93% ROI).

  • 31-23 against the Moneyline (+1.3 Units / 1.31% ROI)
  • 27-26 against the Over for game total points (-1.6 Units / -2.69% ROI)
  • 26-27 against the Under for game total points (-3.6 Units / -6.07% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 75 games (-28.70 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 64 games (-23.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 36 games at home (-22.65 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 40 games (-21.35 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 41 games at home (-19.35 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 49 games (-28.80 Units / -56% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 66 games (-17.50 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 77 games (-17.30 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 78 games (-17.05 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 56 games (-15.55 Units / -27% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs are 1-7 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Spurs are 4-18 (.182) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Spurs are 16-59 (.213) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Mavericks are 25-8 (.758) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed 13.5 made three-pointers per game this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

The Mavericks are 18-4 (.818) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — T-5th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three this season — 5th-worst in the NBA.

The Mavericks are 6-1 (.857) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Mavericks were 1-8 (.111) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. SpursWednesday‘s Game, Feb. 14

  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Out
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Toe, Game Time Decision
  • Dereck Lively II (Dallas Mavericks): Nose, Game Time Decision
  • Kyrie Irving (Dallas Mavericks): Thumb, Game Time Decision
  • Luka Doncic (Dallas Mavericks): Nose, Game Time Decision
  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs are shooting 33% from three (331/999) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Spurs have averaged 1.23 points per shot (15,326 points/12,506 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs averaged 23% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,739 free throw attempts/7,593 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

The Spurs are shooting 32% from three (317/982) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (157 assists/ 55 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have averaged 5.9 turnovers per game (809 turnovers/136 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Mavericks averaged 20.1 points in the paint per game (1,646 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

The Mavericks averaged 10.3 second chance points per game (423 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (1,820/3,571) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (237 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Mavericks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (541 blocks/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks have averaged 6.1 steals per game (404 steals/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.