Spurs vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 05, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Pelicans are -11.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSNO | KENS

The San Antonio Spurs visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Spurs vs Pelicans Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 40-36 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 40-34 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+11.5 -110O 219.5 -115+525
New Orleans Pelicans -11.5 -110U 219.5 -105-750

Pelicans vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Friday‘s game with 86.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 62.0% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 77 games (+17.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 54 games (+16.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 54 games (+11.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 47 of their last 78 games (+11.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 54 of their last 78 games (+29.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 72 games (+22.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 44 games (+16.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 48 of their last 78 games (+15.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 63 games (+13.65 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 40-36 (+0.4 Units / 0.48% ROI).

  • 18-58 against the Moneyline (-17.45 Units / -21.64% ROI)
  • 36-38 against the Over for game total points (-5.8 Units / -6.94% ROI)
  • 38-36 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -1.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 40-34 (+2.6 Units / 3.11% ROI).

  • 45-31 against the Moneyline (+5.8 Units / 3.37% ROI)
  • 33-43 against the Over for game total points (-14.3 Units / -17.11% ROI)
  • 43-33 against the Under for game total points (+6.7 Units / 8.01% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 63 games (-22.35 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 66 games (-20.15 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 79 games (-15.50 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.60 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 39 games at home (-12.60 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 71 games (-22.80 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 78 games (-22.65 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 79 games (-20.10 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 79 games (-20.05 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 77 games (-18.75 Units / -21% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Spurs were 1-13 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Spurs are 1-10 (.091) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .402

The Spurs are 2-23 (.080) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .352

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Pelicans are 27-7 (.794) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pelicans are 12-5 (.706) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596

The Pelicans were 2-16 (.111) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Pelicans are 15-2 (.882) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. SpursFriday‘s Game, Apr. 5

  • Jose Alvarado (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Brandon Ingram (New Orleans Pelicans): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dyson Daniels (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Out
  • CJ McCollum (New Orleans Pelicans): Ankle, Out
  • Naji Marshall (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs averaged 23% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,739 free throw attempts/7,593 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

The Spurs averaged 1.23 points per shot (4,473 points/3,651 shots) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (506/1,262) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 53.3 points in the paint per game (4,372 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Pelicans have averaged 51.8 points in the paint per game (3,882 points/75 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pelicans averaged 7.4 second chance points per game (605 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (3,780/7,460) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Spurs allowed 124.7 points per game (5,114 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.9

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (999/3,009) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 8.2 steals per game (617 steals/75 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans stole the ball 681 times last season — 2nd most among NBA teams


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