Spurs vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 5

  • The Pelicans are -11.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSNO | KENS

The San Antonio Spurs visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Spurs vs Pelicans Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 40-36 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 40-34 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+11.5 -110O 219.5 -115+525
New Orleans Pelicans -11.5 -110U 219.5 -105-750

Pelicans vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Friday‘s game with 86.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 62.0% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 77 games (+17.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 54 games (+16.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 54 games (+11.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 47 of their last 78 games (+11.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 54 of their last 78 games (+29.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 72 games (+22.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 44 games (+16.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 48 of their last 78 games (+15.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 63 games (+13.65 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 40-36 (+0.4 Units / 0.48% ROI).

  • 18-58 against the Moneyline (-17.45 Units / -21.64% ROI)
  • 36-38 against the Over for game total points (-5.8 Units / -6.94% ROI)
  • 38-36 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -1.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 40-34 (+2.6 Units / 3.11% ROI).

  • 45-31 against the Moneyline (+5.8 Units / 3.37% ROI)
  • 33-43 against the Over for game total points (-14.3 Units / -17.11% ROI)
  • 43-33 against the Under for game total points (+6.7 Units / 8.01% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 63 games (-22.35 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 66 games (-20.15 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 79 games (-15.50 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.60 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 39 games at home (-12.60 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 71 games (-22.80 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 78 games (-22.65 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 79 games (-20.10 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 79 games (-20.05 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 77 games (-18.75 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Spurs were 1-13 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Spurs are 1-10 (.091) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .402

The Spurs are 2-23 (.080) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .352

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Pelicans are 27-7 (.794) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pelicans are 12-5 (.706) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596

The Pelicans were 2-16 (.111) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Pelicans are 15-2 (.882) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. SpursFriday‘s Game, Apr. 5

  • Jose Alvarado (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Brandon Ingram (New Orleans Pelicans): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dyson Daniels (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Out
  • CJ McCollum (New Orleans Pelicans): Ankle, Out
  • Naji Marshall (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs averaged 23% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,739 free throw attempts/7,593 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

The Spurs averaged 1.23 points per shot (4,473 points/3,651 shots) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (506/1,262) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 53.3 points in the paint per game (4,372 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Pelicans have averaged 51.8 points in the paint per game (3,882 points/75 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pelicans averaged 7.4 second chance points per game (605 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (3,780/7,460) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Spurs allowed 124.7 points per game (5,114 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.9

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (999/3,009) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 8.2 steals per game (617 steals/75 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans stole the ball 681 times last season — 2nd most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.

Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.