- The Rockets (14-49) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Spurs (16-48)
- Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
- Sunday, March 5, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW & BSSW
The San Antonio Spurs visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Houston.
The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Spurs vs Rockets Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 26-38 against the spread, while the Rockets are 23-37 against the spread.
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Spurs vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
San Antonio Spurs | +4.5 -110 | O 231.5 -110 | +150 |
Houston Rockets | -4.5 -110 | U 231.5 -110 | -185 |
Rockets vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Sunday‘s game with 55.5% confidence.
Rockets vs Spurs Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Spurs and Rockets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Bet now on Rockets vs Spurs and all NBA games with BetMGM
Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 84 games (+18.01 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games (+10.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games (+10.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 39 away games (+7.34 Units / 17% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games at home (+11.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 70 games (+10.94 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games (+8.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 56 games (+8.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.02 Units / 18% ROI)
San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 26-38 (-15.8 Units / -22.44% ROI).
- 16-48 against the Moneyline (-11.35 Units / -17.54% ROI)
- 35-27 against the Over for game total points (+5.3 Units / 7.53% ROI)
- 27-35 against the Under for game total points (-11.5 Units / -16.34% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 23-37 (-17.7 Units / -25.54% ROI).
- 14-49 against the Moneyline (-19.7 Units / -30.57% ROI)
- 32-31 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -3.03% ROI)
- 31-32 against the Under for game total points (-4.2 Units / -6.06% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 79 games (-29.35 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 72 games (-21.47 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the Spread in 23 of their last 64 games (-18.80 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 19 of their last 65 games (-18.72 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 79 games (-18.25 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 64 games (-29.78 Units / -46% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 84 games (-29.02 Units / -30% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 64 games (-23.96 Units / -34% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 57 games (-23.05 Units / -40% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 84 games (-22.20 Units / -24% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Player Injuries for San Antonio Spurs vs. Houston Rockets
- San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The San Antonio Spurs are 4-30 (.118) when losing the rebounding margin this season — third-worst among NBA teams. The Houston Rockets have averaged 46.5 rebounds per game (2,881 rebounds/62 games) this season — fourth-highest among NBA teams.
The Spurs are 3-56 (.051) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .272
The Spurs are 8-22 (.267) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Spurs are 4-30 (.118) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .326
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs
The Rockets are 3-18 (.143) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453
The Rockets are 21-77 (.212) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
The Rockets are 4-38 (.095) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .491
The Rockets are 6-26 (.188) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
Injury Report: Rockets vs. Spurs – Sunday‘s Game, Mar. 5
- Houston Rockets – No Injuries Reported
- Malaki Branham (Spurs): Branham did not play in Saturday’s game (Mar. 4) against the Rockets.
- Doug McDermott (Spurs): McDermott did not play in Saturday’s game (Mar. 4) against the Rockets.
- Romeo Langford (Spurs): Langford did not play in Saturday’s game (Mar. 4) against the Rockets.
- Khem Birch (Spurs): Birch hasn’t played since Dec. 29 against Memphis and remains without a timetable to return.
- Keldon Johnson (Spurs): Johnson did not play in Saturday’s game (Mar. 4) against the Rockets.
San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have averaged 28.7 points in the paint per game (4,156 points/145 games) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8
The Spurs have a 21% free throw rate (1,465 free throw attempts/6,827 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%
The Spurs have averaged 54.1 points in the paint per game (3,948 points/73 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.0
The Spurs have averaged 1.21 points per shot (3,573 points/2,964 shots) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,464 assists/ 1,620 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,396 assists/ 985 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,630 assists/ 1,121 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,659 assists/ 1,178 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have averaged 31.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,972 rebounds/63 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0
The Spurs have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (248 blocks/63 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Spurs have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (4,787 rebounds/145 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.6
The Spurs have averaged 7.8 steals per game (566 steals/73 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (7,115 rebounds/216 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9
The Rockets have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,721 rebounds/144 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.6
The Rockets have averaged 7.1 steals per game (506 steals/71 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Rockets have allowed 13.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.4
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