Spurs vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Rockets are -7.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on SCHN | BSSW

The San Antonio Spurs visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston, TX.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Spurs vs Rockets Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 30-31 against the spread, while the Rockets are 30-28 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+7.5 -105O 227.5 -110+260
Houston Rockets -7.5 -115U 227.5 -110-350

Rockets vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Tuesday‘s game with 79.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Rockets.

Rockets vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 52.9% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 76 games (+16.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+15.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 39 games (+13.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 39 games (+12.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+20.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+14.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+13.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games (+12.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 30-31 (-4 Units / -5.97% ROI).

  • 13-48 against the Moneyline (-22.25 Units / -34.79% ROI)
  • 29-30 against the Over for game total points (-4.05 Units / -6.03% ROI)
  • 30-29 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -2.83% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 30-28 (-0.75 Units / -1.14% ROI).

  • 26-34 against the Moneyline (-3.8 Units / -4.51% ROI)
  • 26-32 against the Over for game total points (-9.2 Units / -13.94% ROI)
  • 32-26 against the Under for game total points (+3.4 Units / 5.15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 78 games (-20.20 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 68 games (-13.75 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 75 games (-13.10 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 4 of their last 18 games at home (-11.40 Units / -58% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 79 games (-11.25 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 56 games (-27.55 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 73 games (-21.90 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 63 games (-19.75 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 42 away games (-18.60 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 78 games (-16.90 Units / -19% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs are 4-18 (.182) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Spurs are 16-59 (.213) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Spurs are 5-27 (.156) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets are winless (0-13) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

The Rockets were 8-19 (.296) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Injury Report: Rockets vs. SpursTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 5

  • Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out For Season
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Out
  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs are shooting 32% from three (317/982) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs are shooting 33% from three (331/999) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Spurs are shooting 34% from three (670/1,965) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets averaged 8.1 turnovers per game (665 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (1,820/3,571) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Spurs averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,781 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,036/2,651) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.