Spurs vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 10, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder are -15.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOK | BSSW

The San Antonio Spurs visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-105).

The Spurs vs Thunder Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 42-37 against the spread, while the Thunder are 43-35 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+17.5 -115O 227.5 -110+950
Oklahoma City Thunder -17.5 -105U 227.5 -110-2000

Thunder vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 93.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Thunder.

Thunder vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 60.3% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+15.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 57 games (+15.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 79 games (+12.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 46 games (+11.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 78 games (+11.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 34 games at home (+21.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 29 games at home (+18.30 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 42 of their last 70 games (+11.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+8.80 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 42-37 (+1.3 Units / 1.5% ROI).

  • 20-59 against the Moneyline (-12.55 Units / -14.8% ROI)
  • 38-39 against the Over for game total points (-4.9 Units / -5.64% ROI)
  • 39-38 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units / -3.22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 43-35 (+4.5 Units / 5.18% ROI).

  • 54-25 against the Moneyline (+13.35 Units / 5.48% ROI)
  • 42-33 against the Over for game total points (+5.7 Units / 6.55% ROI)
  • 33-42 against the Under for game total points (-13.1 Units / -15.09% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 80 games (-18.95 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 76 games (-17.75 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 55 games (-15.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 68 games (-14.70 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 81 games (-14.20 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 78 games (-22.05 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 79 games (-17.85 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 79 games (-17.80 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 78 games (-17.70 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 79 games (-17.45 Units / -19% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs are 1-10 (.091) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .401

The Spurs are 6-35 (.146) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .411

The Spurs are 6-32 (.158) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are 49-13 (.790) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed 118.8 points per game this season — 7th-worst in the NBA.

The Thunder are 36-4 (.900) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

The Thunder are winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .092

Injury Report: Thunder vs. SpursWednesday‘s Game, Apr. 10

  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (214 assists/ 161 TOs) in close and late situations last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Spurs are shooting 34% from three (495/1,455) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (534/1,324) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 13.7 offensive rebounds per game (1,079 rebounds/79 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Thunder have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (517/1,300) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 52% (1,901/3,693) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Spurs averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,781 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (521 blocks/79 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Thunder have averaged 8.4 steals per game (663 steals/79 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Thunder have 663 steals this season — 2nd most among NBA teams

The Thunder have forced 16.2 turnovers per game (2,613 turnovers/161 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8


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