Spurs vs Wizards Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 20, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Wizards are -2.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 241.5 points
  • Watch the game on MNMT | BSSW

The San Antonio Spurs visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Washington, DC.

The Wizards are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Spurs vs Wizards Over/Under is 241.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 19-22 against the spread, while the Wizards are 19-20 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+2.5 -115O 241.5 -105+115
Washington Wizards -2.5 -105U 241.5 -115-140

Wizards vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Wizards will win Saturday‘s game with 59.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Spurs and Wizards, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Wizards vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games (+15.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 63 games (+14.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 60 games (+12.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+10.00 Units / 119% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 73 games (+18.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 1Q Spread in 48 of their last 77 games (+16.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 77 games (+13.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (+11.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 19-22 (-5.1 Units / -11.33% ROI).

  • 7-34 against the Moneyline (-21.85 Units / -51.53% ROI)
  • 23-17 against the Over for game total points (+4.3 Units / 9.53% ROI)
  • 17-23 against the Under for game total points (-8.3 Units / -18.4% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 19-20 (-3 Units / -6.82% ROI).

  • 7-33 against the Moneyline (-22.4 Units / -53.91% ROI)
  • 21-18 against the Over for game total points (+1.15 Units / 2.61% ROI)
  • 18-21 against the Under for game total points (-5.1 Units / -11.6% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 60 games (-28.60 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 77 games (-27.35 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 72 games (-17.20 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 64 games (-17.05 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 45 games (-16.70 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 36 games (-27.15 Units / -74% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the Spread in 29 of their last 77 games (-23.70 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 66 games (-22.15 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 78 games (-21.75 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 60 games (-18.70 Units / -28% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs were 1-44 (.022) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Spurs are winless (0-6) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Spurs are 2-50 (.038) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .309

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Wizards are 1-20 (.048) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .449

The Wizards are winless (0-4) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Wizards are 1-13 (.071) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Wizards were winless (0-13) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

Injury Report: Wizards vs. SpursSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 20

  • Ryan Rollins (Washington Wizards): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Johnny Davis (Washington Wizards): Calf, Out
  • Landry Shamet (Washington Wizards): Ribs, Game Time Decision
  • Delon Wright (Washington Wizards): Knee, Out
  • Sir’Jabari Rice (San Antonio Spurs): Undisclosed, Game Time Decision

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs are shooting 32% from three (247/774) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs have an eFG% of 52% in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 29.4 points in the paint per game (1,178 points/40 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

The Wizards have averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (545 rebounds/40 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.7

The Wizards have averaged 9.7 fast break points per game (388 points/40 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Wizards have averaged 10.8 second chance points per game (432 points/40 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (3,780/7,460) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs allowed 124.7 points per game (5,114 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.9

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,036/2,651) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (1,820/3,571) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 19.2 offensive rebounds per game (770 rebounds/40 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.7

The Wizards have allowed 9.2 second chance points per game (368 points/40 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Wizards have allowed 65.1 points per game (2,603 points/40 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 57.4

The Wizards have allowed 17.2 second chance points per game (688 points/40 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.