Suns vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 17, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -2.5 favorites vs. the Suns
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Phoenix Suns visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Suns vs Bucks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 26-39 against the spread, while the Bucks are 29-37 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns O
Milwaukee Bucks U

Bucks vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Sunday‘s game with 58.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Bucks.

Bucks vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 86 games (+19.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 away games (+15.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 47 games (+14.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 1H Spread in 42 of their last 72 games (+8.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 43 away games (+7.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 31 games at home (+10.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 48 of their last 82 games (+9.90 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 26-39 (-16.9 Units / -22.93% ROI).

  • 39-28 against the Moneyline (-4.65 Units / -2.81% ROI)
  • 29-37 against the Over for game total points (-11.75 Units / -15.93% ROI)
  • 37-29 against the Under for game total points (+5.1 Units / 6.92% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 29-37 (-11.7 Units / -15.9% ROI).

  • 43-24 against the Moneyline (-11.2 Units / -4.66% ROI)
  • 32-35 against the Over for game total points (-6.5 Units / -8.82% ROI)
  • 35-32 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 74 games (-28.00 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 60 games (-19.80 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-19.40 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 84 games (-18.95 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 85 games (-41.05 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 86 games (-31.80 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 31 of their last 81 games (-21.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 47 games (-19.15 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 52 games (-16.10 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Suns are 15-10 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Suns were 5-11 (.312) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Suns were 27-15 (.643) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks are 19-9 (.679) when they win the turnover margin this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Suns have averaged 14.8 turnovers per game this season — T-6th-highest in the NBA.

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 25-7 (.781) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Injury Report: Bucks vs. SunsSunday‘s Game, Mar. 17

  • Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out
  • Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (153 assists/ 121 TOs) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Suns are shooting 50% (2,268/4,545) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Suns averaged 5.1 fast break points per game (422 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.43 points per shot (3,321 points/2,322 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Bucks have 25.9 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

The Bucks shot 74% from the free throw line (1,364/1,837) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/53 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Suns averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Suns have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (316 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,262 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks averaged 6.4 steals per game (521 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Bucks allowed an eFG% of 52% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.