Suns vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 14

  • The Celtics are -5.5 favorites vs. the Suns
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | KTVK

The Phoenix Suns visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Boston, MA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Suns vs Celtics Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 25-38 against the spread, while the Celtics are 33-29 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns+5.5 -110O 225.5 -110+180
Boston Celtics -5.5 -110U 225.5 -110-225

Celtics vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Thursday‘s game with 72.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Celtics.

Celtics vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 54.2% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 84 games (+17.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 away games (+15.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+14.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 1H Spread in 51 of their last 89 games (+8.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 away games (+7.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 48 of their last 68 games (+25.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 58 games (+18.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 43 of their last 68 games (+15.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 69 games (+12.90 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 52 games (+11.20 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 25-38 (-16.8 Units / -23.5% ROI).

  • 38-27 against the Moneyline (-4.65 Units / -2.91% ROI)
  • 28-36 against the Over for game total points (-11.65 Units / -16.28% ROI)
  • 36-28 against the Under for game total points (+5.2 Units / 7.28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 33-29 (+1.1 Units / 1.54% ROI).

  • 51-14 against the Moneyline (+12.65 Units / 4.06% ROI)
  • 30-34 against the Over for game total points (-7.35 Units / -10.29% ROI)
  • 34-30 against the Under for game total points (+1 Units / 1.4% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 96 games (-29.15 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 88 games (-24.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 93 games (-24.35 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 88 games (-20.40 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 37 of their last 86 games (-16.25 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 90 games (-42.45 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 90 games (-30.25 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 35 of their last 90 games (-23.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 45 games (-19.05 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-15.85 Units / -27% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Suns are winless (0-13) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .089

The Suns are 15-4 (.789) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Celtics have forced 12.2 turnovers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd-lowest in the NBA.

The Suns are 11-6 (.647) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Suns are 26-5 (.839) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Celtics are 31-6 (.838) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Celtics were 22-1 (.957) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Celtics were 17-5 (.773) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Celtics were 44-17 (.721) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

Injury Report: Celtics vs. SunsThursday‘s Game, Mar. 14

  • Boston Celtics – No Injuries Reported
  • Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (153 assists/ 121 TOs) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an eFG% of 50% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Suns have averaged 1.25 points per shot (752 points/601 shots) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.35

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have made 16.4 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics made 16.0 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Celtics have a TS% of 56% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/53 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Suns have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (316 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Suns have blocked 748 shots since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (374 blocks/67 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 38.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,064 rebounds/53 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Celtics have averaged 38.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,176 rebounds/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (5,885 points/4,929 shots) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.30

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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