Suns vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 12, 2024, 4:32 PM
  • The Suns are -5.5 favorites vs. the Kings
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | NSCA | KTVK

The Phoenix Suns visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Sacramento, CA.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Suns vs Kings Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 34-44 against the spread, while the Kings are 40-39 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns-5.5 -105O 224.5 -115-210
Sacramento Kings +5.5 -115U 224.5 -105+170

Kings vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Friday‘s game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Kings.

Kings vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 60.2% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 65 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 60 games (+14.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 63 games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 away games (+7.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 1H Spread in 48 of their last 85 games (+6.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 34-44 (-14.4 Units / -16.36% ROI).

  • 47-33 against the Moneyline (-10.85 Units / -5.31% ROI)
  • 35-44 against the Over for game total points (-13.45 Units / -15.28% ROI)
  • 44-35 against the Under for game total points (+5.5 Units / 6.25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 40-39 (-2.85 Units / -3.24% ROI).

  • 45-35 against the Moneyline (-24 Units / -12.64% ROI)
  • 36-42 against the Over for game total points (-10.2 Units / -11.59% ROI)
  • 42-36 against the Under for game total points (+2.4 Units / 2.73% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 55 games (-29.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-22.00 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 70 games (-18.55 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 78 games (-18.35 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 72 games (-15.00 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 91 games (-38.25 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 90 games (-34.35 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 91 games (-22.10 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 60 games (-20.85 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 65 games (-18.15 Units / -24% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Suns are 16-4 (.800) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Suns are 13-8 (.619) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Suns were 5-11 (.312) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Suns were 22-8 (.733) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Kings are 16-2 (.889) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .821

The Kings were 16-2 (.889) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

The Kings are 0-13 (.000) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-worst in the NBA. The Suns have allowed 112.5 points per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th-best in the NBA.

The Kings are 25-13 (.658) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Injury Report: Kings vs. SunsFriday‘s Game, Apr. 12

  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
  • Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 11.9 fast break points per game (1,930 points/162 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Suns averaged 46.0 points in the paint per game (3,770 points/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Suns are shooting 38% from three (992/2,610) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings averaged 1.37 points per shot (9,898 points/7,234 shots) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,922 rebounds/80 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns have blocked 484 shots this season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Suns averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Suns have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (916 blocks/162 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have allowed 10.8 second chance points per game (861 points/80 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings have allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (425 points/39 games) at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Kings have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (610 blocks/162 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings have allowed 5.2 second chance points per game (420 points/80 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.