Suns vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks are -1.5 favorites vs. the Suns
  • Total (Over/Under): 245.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Phoenix Suns visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Suns vs Mavericks Over/Under is 245.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 23-30 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 29-26 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns+1.5 -110O 245.5 -110+100
Dallas Mavericks -1.5 -110U 245.5 -110-120

Mavericks vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Thursday‘s game with 60.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.9% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 57 of their last 84 games (+27.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 66 games (+25.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 87 games (+20.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 away games (+16.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 41 games (+17.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 23-30 (-10.2 Units / -16.78% ROI).

  • 33-22 against the Moneyline (-3.2 Units / -2.34% ROI)
  • 27-28 against the Over for game total points (-3.8 Units / -6.28% ROI)
  • 28-27 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.81% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 29-26 (+0.45 Units / 0.75% ROI).

  • 32-23 against the Moneyline (+2.3 Units / 2.19% ROI)
  • 27-27 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -4.46% ROI)
  • 27-27 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units / -4.3% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 76 games (-27.70 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 41 games (-22.45 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 65 games (-22.00 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 37 games at home (-21.65 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 42 games at home (-18.35 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 82 games (-37.20 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 84 games (-36.50 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 82 games (-34.10 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 87 games (-32.15 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 33 of their last 82 games (-18.90 Units / -21% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Suns are 12-4 (.750) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Suns are 15-10 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Suns are 11-6 (.647) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Suns are 39-23 (.629) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Mavericks are 4-11 (.267) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Mavericks were 13-17 (.433) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Mavericks were 8-1 (.889) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

The Mavericks are 25-8 (.758) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .631

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. SunsThursday‘s Game, Feb. 22

  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Out
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Toe, Game Time Decision
  • Dereck Lively II (Dallas Mavericks): Nose, Game Time Decision
  • Kyrie Irving (Dallas Mavericks): Thumb, Game Time Decision
  • Luka Doncic (Dallas Mavericks): Nose, Game Time Decision
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Out
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (153 assists/ 121 TOs) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have averaged 7.6 turnovers per game (401 turnovers/53 games) in the second half this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (431 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

The Suns had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (2,235 assists/ 1,110 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (157 assists/ 55 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks have averaged 5.4 second chance points per game (733 points/136 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/53 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Suns have blocked 316 shots this season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (316 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (357 steals/54 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Mavericks have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,638 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.1 steals per game (404 steals/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.