Suns vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 24, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Suns are -2.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSW | AZFS | ABC

The Phoenix Suns visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Suns vs Mavericks Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 15-26 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 23-20 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns-2.5 -105O 242.5 -115-135
Dallas Mavericks +2.5 -115U 242.5 -105+110

Mavericks vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Suns and Mavericks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Mavericks vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 59.0% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 81 games (+26.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 88 games (+24.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 54 games (+22.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 73 games (+19.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+17.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+15.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+13.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 72 games (+11.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 15-26 (-13.8 Units / -28.99% ROI).

  • 25-18 against the Moneyline (-5.45 Units / -5.12% ROI)
  • 22-21 against the Over for game total points (-1.1 Units / -2.33% ROI)
  • 21-22 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -6.77% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 23-20 (+1.05 Units / 2.22% ROI).

  • 24-19 against the Moneyline (-1.8 Units / -2.25% ROI)
  • 23-19 against the Over for game total points (+2.1 Units / 4.43% ROI)
  • 19-23 against the Under for game total points (-6.2 Units / -13.14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 68 games (-35.40 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 77 games (-22.40 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 72 games (-22.30 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 73 games (-21.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 73 games (-20.30 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 88 games (-35.25 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 81 games (-35.20 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 70 games (-31.50 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 70 games (-27.05 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 25 of their last 70 games (-22.50 Units / -29% ROI)

Jump to:

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Suns were 24-5 (.828) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Suns are 11-7 (.611) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Suns were 1-12 (.077) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Suns are 8-2 (.800) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Mavericks were 13-17 (.433) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Mavericks are undefeated (5-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .739

The Mavericks were 22-32 (.407) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Mavericks are 14-3 (.824) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .667

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. SunsWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 24

  • Grant Williams (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Josh Green (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Out
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Toe, Game Time Decision
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Back, Out
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.6 second chance points per game (241 points/43 games) in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Suns are shooting 38% from three (514/1,367) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Suns shot 47% (3,453/7,388) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 3.0 (125 assists/ 41 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (744 turnovers/125 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Mavericks averaged 20.1 points in the paint per game (1,646 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

The Mavericks have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (746 turnovers/64 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (257 blocks/43 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Suns averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (327 blocks/59 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,470 rebounds/43 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.