Suns vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 19

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 19, 2024, 4:32 PM
  • The Pelicans are -2.5 favorites vs. the Suns
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Watch the game on KTVK | WVUE

The Phoenix Suns visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Suns vs Pelicans Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 14-25 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 24-17 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns+2.5 -115O 236.5 -105+110
New Orleans Pelicans -2.5 -105U 236.5 -115-135

Pelicans vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Friday‘s game with 59.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Suns and Pelicans, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Pelicans vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 54.2% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 54 of their last 78 games (+27.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+21.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 51 games (+19.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 44 of their last 70 games (+16.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 away games (+16.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 62 games (+30.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 79 games (+20.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 41 of their last 62 games (+19.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 56 games (+18.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 2Q Spread in 36 of their last 56 games (+13.95 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 14-25 (-13.65 Units / -30.85% ROI).

  • 22-18 against the Moneyline (-8.65 Units / -8.58% ROI)
  • 22-18 against the Over for game total points (+2.2 Units / 5% ROI)
  • 18-22 against the Under for game total points (-6.2 Units / -14.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 24-17 (+5.35 Units / 11.61% ROI).

  • 25-17 against the Moneyline (+3.85 Units / 4.89% ROI)
  • 21-21 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 21-21 against the Under for game total points (-2.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 79 games (-28.60 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 80 games (-18.75 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-18.75 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 77 games (-18.20 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-17.60 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 78 games (-36.10 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 87 games (-32.05 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 67 games (-30.25 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 67 games (-25.70 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 24 of their last 67 games (-22.35 Units / -30% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Suns are 9-2 (.818) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .583

The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Suns are winless (0-12) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .086

The Suns are 8-4 (.667) when they win the turnover margin this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Pelicans are 10-3 (.769) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Pelicans are 13-6 (.684) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Pelicans are 13-10 (.565) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Pelicans were 13-2 (.867) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. SunsFriday‘s Game, Jan. 19

  • Matt Ryan (New Orleans Pelicans): Elbow, Out
  • Larry Nance Jr. (New Orleans Pelicans): Ribs, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Back, Out
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 13.0 fast break points per game (521 points/40 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Suns had an eFG% of 54% last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Suns have averaged 7.6 turnovers per game (303 turnovers/40 games) in the second half this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Suns averaged 5.1 fast break points per game (422 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 41% from three (284/693) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Pelicans are shooting 39% from three (511/1,321) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 56% this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Suns have blocked 676 shots since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Suns averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Suns allowed an average of 1.44 points per shot (1,283 points/894 shots) in close and late situations last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,499 rebounds/42 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (199 blocks/42 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (681 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.