Suns vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 23, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Suns are -3.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Watch the game on KTVK | SCHN

The Phoenix Suns visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston, TX.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Suns vs Rockets Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 23-31 against the spread, while the Rockets are 27-26 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns-3.5 -110O 233.5 -110-165
Houston Rockets +3.5 -110U 233.5 -110+135

Rockets vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Friday‘s game with 65.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Rockets.

Rockets vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 55.4% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 58 of their last 85 games (+28.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 67 games (+24.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 88 games (+21.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 54 of their last 86 games (+20.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 away games (+17.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+19.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+13.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+11.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 46 of their last 79 games (+10.80 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 23-31 (-11.3 Units / -18.26% ROI).

  • 33-23 against the Moneyline (-4.2 Units / -3.05% ROI)
  • 27-29 against the Over for game total points (-4.9 Units / -7.95% ROI)
  • 29-27 against the Under for game total points (-0.7 Units / -1.14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 27-26 (-1.55 Units / -2.56% ROI).

  • 24-31 against the Moneyline (-5.4 Units / -6.81% ROI)
  • 26-28 against the Over for game total points (-4.8 Units / -7.93% ROI)
  • 28-26 against the Under for game total points (-0.6 Units / -0.99% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 73 games (-17.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 78 games (-16.75 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 78 games (-14.95 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 63 games (-12.55 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the Spread in 12 of their last 33 games (-11.05 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 83 games (-38.30 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 85 games (-37.60 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 83 games (-35.10 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 88 games (-33.25 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 33 of their last 83 games (-20.00 Units / -22% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Suns are winless (0-13) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .089

The Suns were 13-2 (.867) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Suns were 27-15 (.643) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Suns were 5-11 (.312) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Rockets were 6-22 (.214) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Injury Report: Rockets vs. SunsFriday‘s Game, Feb. 23

  • Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out For Season
  • Fred VanVleet (Houston Rockets): Thigh, Out
  • Reggie Bullock Jr. (Houston Rockets): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Out
  • Cam Whitmore (Houston Rockets): Ankle, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Out
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (153 assists/ 121 TOs) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (691 assists/ 411 TOs) on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Suns have averaged 1.38 points per shot (3,215 points/2,336 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Suns had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,066 assists/ 557 TOs) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (892 assists/ 666 TOs) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Suns have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (316 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Suns have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (748 blocks/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Suns allowed an average of 1.44 points per shot (1,283 points/894 shots) in close and late situations last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.