Suns vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 23, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Suns are -9.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSW | KTVK

The Phoenix Suns visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in San Antonio, TX.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Suns vs Spurs Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 28-40 against the spread, while the Spurs are 35-35 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns-10.5 -110O 231.5 -105-500
San Antonio Spurs +10.5 -110U 231.5 -115+375

Spurs vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Saturday‘s game with 82.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Spurs.

Spurs vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 60.8% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 89 games (+17.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 42 away games (+14.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+7.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 1H Spread in 43 of their last 75 games (+7.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 78 games (+18.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 48 games (+15.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games (+13.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 28 games (+12.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 37 games (+12.40 Units / 32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 28-40 (-16 Units / -20.78% ROI).

  • 41-29 against the Moneyline (-4 Units / -2.29% ROI)
  • 31-38 against the Over for game total points (-10.85 Units / -14.08% ROI)
  • 38-31 against the Under for game total points (+3.9 Units / 5.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 35-35 (-3.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 15-55 against the Moneyline (-23.85 Units / -31.95% ROI)
  • 32-36 against the Over for game total points (-7.6 Units / -9.87% ROI)
  • 36-32 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 1.04% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 65 games (-29.20 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 72 games (-22.05 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 72 games (-20.35 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 79 games (-18.15 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 41 games (-17.70 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 88 games (-40.10 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 89 games (-30.85 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 81 games (-21.95 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 33 of their last 84 games (-20.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-18.25 Units / -33% ROI)

Jump to:

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Suns are 14-5 (.737) when they win the turnover margin this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Suns are 19-3 (.864) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .690

The Suns were 27-15 (.643) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs are 2-18 (.100) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Spurs are 1-10 (.091) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs are 5-33 (.132) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .404

Injury Report: Spurs vs. SunsSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 23

  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season
  • Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.7 second chance points per game (401 points/70 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (431 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

The Suns have averaged 1.36 points per shot (8,195 points/6,033 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Suns have averaged 11.8 fast break points per game (1,800 points/152 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (214 assists/ 161 TOs) in close and late situations last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Spurs have 20.0 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.0

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,551 rebounds/70 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns have averaged 7.2 steals per game (507 steals/70 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Suns have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (427 blocks/70 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Suns have blocked 427 shots this season — 5th most among NBA teams

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (1,820/3,571) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,036/2,651) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%


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