Suns vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 25, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Suns are -12.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSW | KTVK

The Phoenix Suns visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in San Antonio, TX.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The Suns vs Spurs Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 29-40 against the spread, while the Spurs are 35-36 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns-12.5 -105O 234.5 -110-750
San Antonio Spurs +12.5 -115U 234.5 -110+525

Spurs vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Monday‘s game with 82.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Spurs.

Spurs vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.8% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 90 games (+16.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 42 away games (+13.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 1H Spread in 44 of their last 76 games (+8.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 79 games (+17.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 49 games (+16.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+12.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games (+11.65 Units / 35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 29-40 (-15 Units / -19.21% ROI).

  • 42-29 against the Moneyline (-3 Units / -1.67% ROI)
  • 32-38 against the Over for game total points (-9.85 Units / -12.6% ROI)
  • 38-32 against the Under for game total points (+2.8 Units / 3.59% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 35-36 (-4.6 Units / -5.89% ROI).

  • 15-56 against the Moneyline (-24.85 Units / -32.85% ROI)
  • 33-36 against the Over for game total points (-6.6 Units / -8.45% ROI)
  • 36-33 against the Under for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.38% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 66 games (-30.20 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 73 games (-23.20 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 73 games (-21.35 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 74 games (-18.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 79 games (-17.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 89 games (-41.25 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 90 games (-29.85 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 82 games (-20.95 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 34 of their last 85 games (-19.90 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 51 games (-17.25 Units / -31% ROI)

Jump to:

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Suns are 15-5 (.750) when they win the turnover margin this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have averaged 15.0 turnovers per game this season — 5th-highest in the NBA.

The Suns are 19-10 (.655) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Suns are winless (0-13) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .091

The Suns are 10-4 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .602

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs are 2-18 (.100) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .417

The Spurs are 11-64 (.147) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .363

The Spurs were 1-44 (.022) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

Injury Report: Spurs vs. SunsMonday‘s Game, Mar. 25

  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season
  • Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 11.9 fast break points per game (1,823 points/153 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Suns have averaged 5.8 second chance points per game (409 points/71 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (2,235 assists/ 1,110 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs have averaged 1.23 points per shot (17,219 points/14,037 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Spurs have 20.1 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.0

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,584 rebounds/71 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Suns have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (432 blocks/71 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Suns averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Suns have blocked 864 shots since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among NBA teams

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (1,820/3,571) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Spurs allowed 123.1 points per game (10,092 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

The Spurs allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (517/1,300) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%


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