Suns vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 14, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -1.5 favorites vs. the Suns
  • Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSN | KTVK

The Phoenix Suns visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at + (+).

The Suns vs Timberwolves Over/Under is Not Found total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 34-45 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 40-40 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns+ +O Not Found ++
Minnesota Timberwolves + +U Not Found ++

Timberwolves vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Sunday‘s game with 57.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 66 games (+23.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 61 games (+15.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 64 games (+8.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 43 games at home (+19.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 55 games (+15.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 52 of their last 85 games (+15.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 75 games (+10.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+10.55 Units / 22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 34-45 (-15.5 Units / -17.4% ROI).

  • 48-33 against the Moneyline (-9.85 Units / -4.78% ROI)
  • 35-45 against the Over for game total points (-14.55 Units / -16.32% ROI)
  • 45-35 against the Under for game total points (+6.5 Units / 7.3% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 40-40 (-4.1 Units / -4.59% ROI).

  • 56-25 against the Moneyline (+7.65 Units / 2.65% ROI)
  • 41-40 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -3.37% ROI)
  • 40-41 against the Under for game total points (-5.1 Units / -5.72% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 86 games (-26.85 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 87 games (-23.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 87 games (-23.35 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 75 games (-21.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 74 games (-21.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 92 games (-37.25 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 91 games (-35.50 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 92 games (-23.60 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 61 games (-21.95 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 66 games (-19.35 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Suns are 17-5 (.773) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Suns were 27-15 (.643) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Timberwolves are 25-8 (.758) when they win the turnover margin this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Suns have averaged 14.9 turnovers per game this season — 6th-highest in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Timberwolves were 14-6 (.700) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Timberwolves are 8-2 (.800) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. SunsSunday‘s Game, Apr. 14

  • Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out
  • Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.6 second chance points per game (456 points/81 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns have averaged 11.9 fast break points per game (1,939 points/163 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Suns have averaged 6.4 fast break points per game (1,038 points/163 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (431 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (513/1,346) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves are shooting 43% (368/853) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves averaged 1.32 points per shot (9,494 points/7,167 shots) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Timberwolves have 22.8 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,961 rebounds/81 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (469 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Suns have blocked 488 shots this season — 6th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (920 blocks/163 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 51% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (501 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Timberwolves blocked 444 shots last season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,824 rebounds/163 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.