Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 16, 2024, 5:31 PM
  • The Thunder are -10.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSM | BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Memphis, TN.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Thunder vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 39-26 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 32-35 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-10.5 -110O 218.5 -110-600
Memphis Grizzlies +10.5 -110U 218.5 -110+425

Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Saturday‘s game with 85.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 70 games (+13.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 42 of their last 70 games (+12.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 44 of their last 74 games (+11.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 57 games (+11.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 43 of their last 72 games (+9.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 75 games (+22.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 39 games at home (+19.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 42 games (+13.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.60 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 39-26 (+10.4 Units / 14.33% ROI).

  • 46-20 against the Moneyline (+11.15 Units / 5.64% ROI)
  • 34-28 against the Over for game total points (+3.2 Units / 4.4% ROI)
  • 28-34 against the Under for game total points (-9.3 Units / -12.83% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 32-35 (-6.5 Units / -8.82% ROI).

  • 23-44 against the Moneyline (+1.45 Units / 1.87% ROI)
  • 30-37 against the Over for game total points (-10.7 Units / -14.52% ROI)
  • 37-30 against the Under for game total points (+4 Units / 5.43% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 87 games (-33.35 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 82 games (-25.90 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 69 games (-22.50 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 82 games (-20.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 41 games at home (-17.80 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 81 games (-18.70 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 63 games (-17.95 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 74 games (-16.05 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 42 games (-15.95 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 81 games (-14.10 Units / -15% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Thunder are 29-5 (.853) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — 6th-worst in the NBA.

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder were 20-8 (.714) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

The Thunder are 0-4 (.000) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-worst in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed 112.6 points per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th-best in the NBA.

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are winless (0-12) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Grizzlies are 2-21 (.087) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — worst in the NBA. The Thunder have shot 40% from three this season — best in the NBA.

The Grizzlies are winless (0-18) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. ThunderSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 16

  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out
  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (369/893) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (347/860) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies are shooting 44% (2,091/4,767) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (943/2,203) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies have averaged 106.7 points per game (5,762 points/54 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 19.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,276 rebounds/67 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.4

The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Thunder have allowed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,253 rebounds/135 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder averaged 4.2 blocks per game (341 blocks/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (804 blocks/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies have 417 steals this season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (331 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2


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