- The Thunder are -4.5 favorites vs. the Heat
- Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
- Watch the game on SUN | BSOK
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami, FL.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Thunder vs Heat Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 23-11 against the spread, while the Heat are 17-19 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | -4.5 -110 | O 233.5 -110 | -190 |
| Miami Heat | +4.5 -110 | U 233.5 -110 | +155 |
Heat vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 64.9% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Thunder and Heat, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.
Heat vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.9% confidence.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- Away – Positive ATS Trends
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- Home – Positive ATS Trends
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 23-11 (+10.95 Units / 28.55% ROI).
- 24-11 against the Moneyline (+12.65 Units / 18.41% ROI)
- 21-13 against the Over for game total points (+6.7 Units / 17.4% ROI)
- 13-21 against the Under for game total points (-10.1 Units / -26.23% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 17-19 (-3.85 Units / -9.72% ROI).
- 21-15 against the Moneyline (+6.9 Units / 12.64% ROI)
- 17-19 against the Over for game total points (-3.9 Units / -9.85% ROI)
- 19-17 against the Under for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.76% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- Home – Negative ATS Trends
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- Away – Negative ATS Trends
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Miami Heat
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808
The Thunder were 20-3 (.870) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733
The Thunder are 6-2 (.750) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558
The Thunder are 10-3 (.769) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Heat are 1-6 (.143) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .407
The Heat are 7-3 (.700) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559
The Heat are 11-3 (.786) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573
The Heat were 20-9 (.690) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
Injury Report: Heat vs. Thunder – Wednesday‘s Game, Jan. 10
- Tyler Herro (Miami Heat): Ankle, Game Time Decision
- R.J. Hampton (Miami Heat): Knee, Out
- Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season
- Bam Adebayo (Miami Heat): Hip, Game Time Decision
- Haywood Highsmith (Miami Heat): Back, Game Time Decision
- Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder are shooting 42% from three (240/565) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (208/503) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have an eFG% of 60% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Thunder have a TS% of 56% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7
The Heat have averaged 11.2 fast break points per game (405 points/36 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2
The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Heat have averaged 5.0 fast break points per game (586 points/118 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have allowed 20.0 offensive rebounds per game (699 rebounds/35 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.8
The Thunder have allowed 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (345 rebounds/35 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.1
The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Thunder have allowed 19.4 offensive rebounds per game (1,103 rebounds/57 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.5
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (186 blocks/61 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (118 blocks/36 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (175 blocks/57 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
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