Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 10, 2024, 4:32 PM
  • The Thunder are -1.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | BSW+ | BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Thunder vs Mavericks Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 31-19 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 27-25 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-1.5 -105O 239.5 -115-120
Dallas Mavericks +1.5 -115U 239.5 -105+100

Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Saturday‘s game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 56.9% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 55 games (+13.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 57 games (+12.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 34 of their last 55 games (+11.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 42 games (+11.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 40 of their last 68 games (+11.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games (+16.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+14.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 33 games (+12.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 57 games (+9.70 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 31-19 (+10.05 Units / 17.93% ROI).

  • 35-16 against the Moneyline (+10.95 Units / 8.27% ROI)
  • 28-22 against the Over for game total points (+3.8 Units / 6.76% ROI)
  • 22-28 against the Under for game total points (-8.7 Units / -15.54% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 27-25 (-0.45 Units / -0.79% ROI).

  • 29-23 against the Moneyline (-0.7 Units / -0.76% ROI)
  • 26-25 against the Over for game total points (-1.5 Units / -2.62% ROI)
  • 25-26 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -6.13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 77 games (-34.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 38 games (-21.30 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 76 games (-20.95 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-20.40 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 34 games at home (-19.40 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-21.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 48 games (-16.70 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 80 games (-12.85 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 72 games (-12.25 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 77 games (-12.10 Units / -14% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are 12-0 (1.000) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best in the NBA. The Mavericks have averaged 49.8 rebounds/game this season — 6th-lowest in the NBA.

The Thunder are undefeated (12-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .650

The Thunder are 13-5 (.722) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .581

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Mavericks are 6-1 (.857) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Mavericks are 24-8 (.750) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .630

The Mavericks are 19-7 (.731) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

The Mavericks are 13-7 (.650) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .579

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. ThunderSaturday‘s Game, Feb. 10

  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Jones Jr. (Dallas Mavericks): Wrist, Game Time Decision
  • Kyrie Irving (Dallas Mavericks): Thumb, Game Time Decision
  • Isaiah Joe (Oklahoma City Thunder): Undisclosed, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Williams (Oklahoma City Thunder): Ankle, Game Time Decision

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (354/854) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Thunder have averaged 10.2 second chance points per game (256 points/25 games) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Thunder have an eFG% of 59% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.8 (149 assists/ 54 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (496 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Mavericks averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (1,002 turnovers/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 19.3 offensive rebounds per game (983 rebounds/51 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.5

The Thunder have allowed 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (499 rebounds/51 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have allowed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,233 rebounds/133 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have allowed 19.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,259 rebounds/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.4

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,771 rebounds/52 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (526 blocks/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.