Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 18, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks are -3.5 favorites vs. the Thunder
  • Total (Over/Under): 209.5 points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Dallas, TX.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Thunder vs Mavericks Over/Under is 208.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 51-39 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 55-38 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder+3.5 -105O 208.5 -110+145
Dallas Mavericks -3.5 -115U 208.5 -110-175

Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Saturday‘s game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.7% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 85 games (+17.80 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 50 of their last 82 games (+16.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 67 games (+8.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 51 of their last 91 games (+8.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 55 games (+7.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 68 games (+19.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 64 games (+17.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 31 of their last 44 games (+16.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 79 games (+10.55 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 51-39 (+8.1 Units / 8.09% ROI).

  • 63-28 against the Moneyline (+17.55 Units / 5.8% ROI)
  • 45-42 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -1.2% ROI)
  • 42-45 against the Under for game total points (-7.4 Units / -7.4% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 55-38 (+13.2 Units / 12.92% ROI).

  • 57-36 against the Moneyline (+4.65 Units / 2.36% ROI)
  • 41-52 against the Over for game total points (-16.2 Units / -15.84% ROI)
  • 52-41 against the Under for game total points (+6.9 Units / 6.74% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 93 games (-28.30 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 66 games (-27.60 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 70 games (-26.60 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 17 games at home (-22.15 Units / -70% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 79 games (-21.70 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 91 games (-18.80 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 88 games (-18.75 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 67 games (-18.50 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 61 games (-16.50 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 61 games (-14.15 Units / -12% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

Keys to the game – away

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Mavericks are 36-10 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-5th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

The Mavericks are 5-13 (.278) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Mavericks are 41-27 (.603) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

The Mavericks were 8-1 (.889) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. ThunderSaturday‘s Game, May 18

  • Greg Brown (Dallas Mavericks): Personal, Game Time Decision
  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Foot, Game Time Decision
  • PJ Washington (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Dereck Lively II (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Jones Jr. (Dallas Mavericks): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
  • Daniel Gafford (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Game Time Decision
  • Kyrie Irving (Dallas Mavericks): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Luka Doncic (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Olivier Sarr (Oklahoma City Thunder): Ankle, Out For Season

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (450 points/41 games) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Thunder have a TS% of 54% this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

Home Team Offense Stories

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

Away Team Defense Stories

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

Home Team Defense Stories


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.