Thunder vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 29

  • The Thunder are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 206.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | BSNO | BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Thunder vs Pelicans Over/Under is 208.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 48-36 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 45-40 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-4.5 -115O 208.5 -110-200
New Orleans Pelicans +4.5 -105U 208.5 -110+165

Pelicans vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Monday‘s game with 66.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 79 games (+19.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 46 of their last 76 games (+13.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 80 games (+11.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 74 games (+10.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 48 of their last 85 games (+8.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 55 of their last 83 games (+23.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 53 of their last 83 games (+19.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 56 games (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 47 of their last 77 games (+14.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 55 games (+12.20 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 48-36 (+8.4 Units / 8.98% ROI).

  • 60-25 against the Moneyline (+19.35 Units / 6.6% ROI)
  • 44-37 against the Over for game total points (+3.3 Units / 3.53% ROI)
  • 37-44 against the Under for game total points (-11.3 Units / -12.1% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 45-40 (+1 Units / 1.04% ROI).

  • 50-37 against the Moneyline (+0.6 Units / 0.3% ROI)
  • 37-50 against the Over for game total points (-18 Units / -18.81% ROI)
  • 50-37 against the Under for game total points (+9.3 Units / 9.72% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 77 games (-25.05 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 games at home (-19.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 74 games (-18.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-18.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 63 games (-16.55 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 61 games (-16.35 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 85 games (-16.10 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 61 games (-14.00 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 74 games (-12.90 Units / -16% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Thunder are 24-3 (.889) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Thunder were 18-26 (.409) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Thunder are 39-6 (.867) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Thunder are 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pelicans were 13-2 (.867) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Pelicans were 14-22 (.389) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Pelicans are 26-5 (.839) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .672

The Pelicans are 28-14 (.667) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. ThunderMonday‘s Game, Apr. 29

  • Zion Williamson (New Orleans Pelicans): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Olivier Sarr (Oklahoma City Thunder): Ankle, Out For Season

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder are shooting 50% (436/868) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Thunder have averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (450 points/41 games) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 41% from three (567/1,401) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans are shooting 38% from three (1,023/2,673) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (532/1,339) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 51% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Thunder have allowed 18.0 offensive rebounds per game (2,954 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2

The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (1,045/3,130) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (681 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (379 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%


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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.