Thunder vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 26, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pelicans are -1.5 favorites vs. the Thunder
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSNO | KSBI

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Thunder vs Pelicans Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 29-14 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 25-18 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-1.5 -110O 238.5 -110-120
New Orleans Pelicans +1.5 -110U 238.5 -110+100

Pelicans vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Friday‘s game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Thunder and Pelicans, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Pelicans vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 53.0% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 48 games (+20.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 80 games (+18.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 48 games (+15.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 49 games (+14.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 64 games (+30.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 42 of their last 64 games (+19.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 58 games (+18.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 78 games (+16.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 58 games (+13.85 Units / 22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 29-14 (+13.6 Units / 28.16% ROI).

  • 31-13 against the Moneyline (+17.9 Units / 17.46% ROI)
  • 25-18 against the Over for game total points (+5.2 Units / 10.74% ROI)
  • 18-25 against the Under for game total points (-9.5 Units / -19.63% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 25-18 (+5.25 Units / 10.87% ROI).

  • 26-18 against the Moneyline (+3.45 Units / 4.17% ROI)
  • 22-22 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 22-22 against the Under for game total points (-2.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 78 games (-25.25 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 60 games (-20.15 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 78 games (-16.80 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 72 games (-16.20 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 72 games (-16.15 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 80 games (-28.40 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-21.40 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 78 games (-14.90 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 79 games (-14.40 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 20 games (-13.05 Units / -61% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Thunder are winless (0-4) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .170

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are 22-8 (.733) when they win the turnover margin this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .536

The Thunder are 20-12 (.625) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .492

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pelicans are 19-7 (.731) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 48.4 rebounds/game this season — 2nd-lowest in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 9-1 (.900) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best in the NBA. The Thunder have allowed 13.6 made three-pointers per game this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 19-7 (.731) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .638

The Pelicans were 10-8 (.556) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. ThunderFriday‘s Game, Jan. 26

  • Matt Ryan (New Orleans Pelicans): Elbow, Out
  • Larry Nance Jr. (New Orleans Pelicans): Ribs, Out
  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (299/721) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (293/715) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have an eFG% of 59% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 25.1 free throw attempts per game this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.0

The Pelicans are shooting 41% from three (299/735) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans are shooting 30% from three (36/118) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Pelicans averaged 28% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (2,000 free throw attempts/7,181 field goal attempts) last season — 10th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 19.7 offensive rebounds per game (865 rebounds/44 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.7

The Thunder have allowed 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (435 rebounds/44 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Thunder have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,043 steals/126 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (771/2,377) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,041 steals/126 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (284/886) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (872/1,983) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.