Thunder vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 26

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 26, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Thunder vs Pelicans Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 40-29 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 39-30 against the spread.


Bet now on Pelicans vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


Thunder vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-1.5 +100O 223.5 -115-115
New Orleans Pelicans +1.5 -120U 223.5 -105-105

Pelicans vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 54.6% confidence.


Bet now on Pelicans vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 74 games (+15.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 61 games (+11.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 43 of their last 74 games (+10.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 78 games (+9.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 53 of their last 73 games (+34.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 67 games (+18.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 46 of their last 73 games (+16.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+13.85 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 40-29 (+8.1 Units / 10.52% ROI).

  • 49-21 against the Moneyline (+13.15 Units / 5.71% ROI)
  • 35-31 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units / 1.17% ROI)
  • 31-35 against the Under for game total points (-7.4 Units / -9.62% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 39-30 (+6 Units / 7.68% ROI).

  • 44-27 against the Moneyline (+9.85 Units / 5.94% ROI)
  • 30-41 against the Over for game total points (-15.1 Units / -19.33% ROI)
  • 41-30 against the Under for game total points (+8 Units / 10.24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-21.40 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-18.70 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 61 games (-16.50 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 34 games at home (-13.25 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 47 games (-13.15 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-20.75 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 67 games (-16.15 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 80 games (-15.45 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 46 games (-14.15 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (-12.25 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are winless (0-7) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .150

The Thunder are 20-1 (.952) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .641

The Thunder are winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .092

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pelicans are 30-9 (.769) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 48.8 rebounds/game this season — 3rd-lowest in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 16-4 (.800) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571

The Pelicans are 23-5 (.821) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .684

The Pelicans are 20-3 (.870) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .693

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. ThunderTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 26

  • Jose Alvarado (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Brandon Ingram (New Orleans Pelicans): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dyson Daniels (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Out
  • CJ McCollum (New Orleans Pelicans): Ankle, Out
  • Naji Marshall (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.7 second chance points per game (374 points/35 games) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Thunder are shooting 83% from the free throw line (1,399/1,684) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (475/1,188) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 1.32 points per shot (8,217 points/6,216 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Pelicans are shooting 38% from three (872/2,293) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 14.5 second chance points per game (1,026 points/71 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Pelicans averaged 53.3 points in the paint per game (4,372 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (464 blocks/70 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Thunder have allowed 18.2 offensive rebounds per game (2,764 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.3

The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Thunder have forced 16.3 turnovers per game (570 turnovers/35 games) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (958/2,922) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (471/1,431) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (681 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


Bet now on Pelicans vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM. For Louisiana customers, check out the BetMGM Louisiana bonus code

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.