Thunder vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2024, 4:32 PM
  • The Thunder are -12.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSDT | BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Detroit, MI.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Thunder vs Pistons Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 30-14 against the spread, while the Pistons are 20-24 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder O
Detroit Pistons U

Pistons vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 89.8% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Thunder and Pistons, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Pistons vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.6% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 49 games (+21.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 33 of their last 49 games (+16.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 78 games (+16.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 36 games (+14.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games (+13.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 77 games (+20.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games (+13.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 46 of their last 77 games (+13.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+10.35 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+10.15 Units / 34% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 30-14 (+14.6 Units / 29.55% ROI).

  • 32-13 against the Moneyline (+18.9 Units / 18.22% ROI)
  • 25-19 against the Over for game total points (+4.1 Units / 8.28% ROI)
  • 19-25 against the Under for game total points (-8.5 Units / -17.17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 20-24 (-6.3 Units / -12.75% ROI).

  • 5-40 against the Moneyline (-34.7 Units / -73.44% ROI)
  • 26-18 against the Over for game total points (+6.2 Units / 12.53% ROI)
  • 18-26 against the Under for game total points (-10.6 Units / -21.41% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 77 games (-58.35 Units / -71% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 77 games (-28.80 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 41 games at home (-23.25 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 74 games (-22.80 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 77 games (-20.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 80 games (-26.25 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-19.20 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 79 games (-13.90 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 80 games (-13.40 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 74 games (-12.55 Units / -15% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Thunder are 19-3 (.864) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Pistons have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — T-5th-worst in the NBA.

The Thunder are winless (0-4) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .089

The Thunder are 21-2 (.913) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Thunder are 29-7 (.806) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Pistons have allowed 122.5 points per game this season — 4th-worst in the NBA.

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pistons are 12-48 (.200) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Pistons are 4-61 (.062) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .363

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 3-16 (.158) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

Injury Report: Pistons vs. ThunderSunday‘s Game, Jan. 28

  • Joe Harris (Detroit Pistons): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
  • Monte Morris (Detroit Pistons): Quadriceps, Out
  • Jared Rhoden (Detroit Pistons): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have a TS% of 56% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have an eFG% of 60% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (303/748) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (603 rebounds/45 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.7

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,426 assists/ 957 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons averaged 21.6 assists per game (886 assists/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

The Pistons have averaged 15.6 turnovers per game (702 turnovers/45 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 19.5 offensive rebounds per game (878 rebounds/45 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.7

The Thunder have allowed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,177 rebounds/127 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have averaged 6.5 blocks per game (291 blocks/45 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Thunder have averaged 8.4 steals per game (378 steals/45 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 5.9 steals per game (266 steals/45 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pistons averaged 3.8 blocks per game (308 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pistons have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (539 blocks/127 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pistons have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (266 blocks/62 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.