Thunder vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 29, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder are -11.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Watch the game on KENS | BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Antonio, TX.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Thunder vs Spurs Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 37-20 against the spread, while the Spurs are 28-31 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-11.5 -105O 238.5 -110-650
San Antonio Spurs +11.5 -115U 238.5 -110+450

Spurs vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 88.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Spurs.

Spurs vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 62 games (+18.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 40 of their last 62 games (+16.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 66 games (+14.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 49 games (+14.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 75 games (+14.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+15.35 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 74 games (+14.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+11.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 37-20 (+14.95 Units / 23.43% ROI).

  • 41-17 against the Moneyline (+15.75 Units / 9.9% ROI)
  • 31-23 against the Over for game total points (+5.7 Units / 8.92% ROI)
  • 23-31 against the Under for game total points (-11 Units / -17.27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 28-31 (-6 Units / -9.26% ROI).

  • 11-48 against the Moneyline (-28.5 Units / -46% ROI)
  • 28-29 against the Over for game total points (-3.95 Units / -6.08% ROI)
  • 29-28 against the Under for game total points (-1.8 Units / -2.78% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 54 games (-33.80 Units / -60% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 71 games (-21.80 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 61 games (-20.55 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 53 games (-19.65 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 76 games (-16.70 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 55 games (-20.35 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-17.60 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-16.25 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 82 games (-14.75 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-14.30 Units / -16% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are 27-4 (.871) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — 6th-worst in the NBA.

The Thunder are winless (0-5) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Thunder are 37-9 (.804) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed 120.6 points per game this season — 5th-worst in the NBA.

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs are 1-7 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Spurs are 4-18 (.182) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Spurs were 1-44 (.022) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

Injury Report: Spurs vs. ThunderThursday‘s Game, Feb. 29

  • Marcus Morris Sr. (San Antonio Spurs): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season
  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (347/860) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (369/893) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs are shooting 32% from three (317/982) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs are shooting 33% from three (331/999) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (352 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Thunder have allowed 19.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,276 rebounds/67 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.4

The Thunder have allowed 19.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,017 rebounds/53 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.5

The Thunder have averaged 8.1 steals per game (430 steals/53 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (517/1,300) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs allowed an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Spurs averaged 3.9 blocks per game (322 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Spurs averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.