Thunder vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 24, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder are -7.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 241.5 points
  • Watch the game on CW35 | BSOK | ESPN

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in San Antonio, TX.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Thunder vs Spurs Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 28-14 against the spread, while the Spurs are 21-22 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-7.5 -115O 242.5 -110-350
San Antonio Spurs +7.5 -105U 242.5 -110+260

Spurs vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 74.3% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Thunder and Spurs, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Spurs vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 47 games (+19.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 80 games (+18.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 31 of their last 47 games (+14.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 48 games (+13.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 65 games (+17.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 29 games at home (+16.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 62 games (+15.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 26 games at home (+12.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 52 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 28-14 (+12.6 Units / 26.69% ROI).

  • 30-13 against the Moneyline (+16.9 Units / 17.12% ROI)
  • 24-18 against the Over for game total points (+4.2 Units / 8.88% ROI)
  • 18-24 against the Under for game total points (-8.4 Units / -17.76% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 21-22 (-3.1 Units / -6.57% ROI).

  • 8-35 against the Moneyline (-21.75 Units / -48.99% ROI)
  • 25-17 against the Over for game total points (+6.3 Units / 13.32% ROI)
  • 17-25 against the Under for game total points (-10.5 Units / -22.2% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 38 games (-27.05 Units / -70% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 76 games (-23.65 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 68 games (-22.30 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 48 games (-21.05 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 62 games (-20.90 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 80 games (-28.55 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-21.30 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 77 games (-15.90 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 80 games (-13.40 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 19 games (-12.00 Units / -59% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Thunder are undefeated (8-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .637

The Thunder are 8-0 (1.000) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best in the NBA. The Spurs have averaged 50.7 rebounds/game this season — 7th-lowest in the NBA.

The Thunder are 21-8 (.724) when they win the turnover margin this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have averaged 14.5 turnovers per game this season — T-8th-highest in the NBA.

The Thunder are 28-7 (.800) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed 121.7 points per game this season — 5th-worst in the NBA.

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs are 2-19 (.095) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .463

The Spurs are 1-7 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .415

The Spurs were winless (0-35) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

Injury Report: Spurs vs. ThunderWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 24

  • Sir’Jabari Rice (San Antonio Spurs): Undisclosed, Game Time Decision
  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (292/703) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 10.5 second chance points per game (450 points/43 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Thunder have averaged 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (575 rebounds/43 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.7

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs have a 23% free throw rate (2,606 free throw attempts/11,529 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

The Spurs have averaged 1.23 points per shot (6,888 points/5,589 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 19.7 offensive rebounds per game (847 rebounds/43 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.7

The Thunder have averaged 8.3 steals per game (356 steals/43 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Thunder have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,032 steals/125 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have allowed 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (424 rebounds/43 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.1

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (517/1,300) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (1,820/3,571) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (3,780/7,460) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs allowed an eFG% of 58% last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.