Thunder vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 3

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 03, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Thunder are -5.5 favorites vs. the Suns
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | KTVK | BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Phoenix, AZ.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Thunder vs Suns Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 37-21 against the spread, while the Suns are 24-34 against the spread.


Bet now on Suns vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


Thunder vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-5.5 -110O 233.5 -110-225
Phoenix Suns +5.5 -110U 233.5 -110+180

Suns vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 69.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Suns.

Suns vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.


Bet now on Suns vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 40 of their last 63 games (+15.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 67 games (+15.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 63 games (+13.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 76 games (+13.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 59 of their last 89 games (+26.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 48 games at home (+23.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 88 games (+22.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 54 of their last 90 games (+15.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 37-21 (+13.85 Units / 21.34% ROI).

  • 41-18 against the Moneyline (+10.6 Units / 6.45% ROI)
  • 32-23 against the Over for game total points (+6.7 Units / 10.31% ROI)
  • 23-32 against the Under for game total points (-12.1 Units / -18.67% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 24-34 (-13.65 Units / -20.57% ROI).

  • 35-25 against the Moneyline (-7.75 Units / -5.22% ROI)
  • 27-33 against the Over for game total points (-9.3 Units / -14.09% ROI)
  • 33-27 against the Under for game total points (+3.3 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 87 games (-37.40 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 89 games (-35.70 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 87 games (-33.65 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 90 games (-33.15 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-22.35 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 56 games (-19.35 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 81 games (-18.75 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 74 games (-15.85 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 81 games (-15.65 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 48 games (-13.70 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Thunder are undefeated (12-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

The Thunder were 3-4 (.429) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Thunder are 13-5 (.722) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Thunder are 1-3 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Suns are winless (0-13) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .089

The Suns were 29-16 (.644) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Suns are 11-2 (.846) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Suns are 12-4 (.750) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

Injury Report: Suns vs. ThunderSunday‘s Game, Mar. 3

  • Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out
  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (369/893) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 10.9 second chance points per game (580 points/53 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Thunder have averaged 10.5 second chance points per game (273 points/26 games) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (431 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (153 assists/ 121 TOs) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have averaged 1.37 points per shot (6,222 points/4,545 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Suns have an eFG% of 57% this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (519 rebounds/53 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Thunder have allowed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,253 rebounds/135 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder averaged 4.2 blocks per game (341 blocks/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (316 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Suns have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/53 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Suns averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


Bet now on Suns vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

betmgm-nco-jamie-foxx

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.