Thunder vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 06, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Thunder are -12.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Watch the game on RTNW | BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Portland, OR.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Thunder vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 38-22 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 28-32 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-13.5 -110O 224.5 -115-1000
Portland Trail Blazers +13.5 -110U 224.5 -105+625

Trail Blazers vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 92.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.2% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 41 of their last 65 games (+15.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 52 games (+15.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 65 games (+13.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 69 games (+13.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 52 games (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 59 games (+14.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 47 games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+8.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.00 Units / 30% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 38-22 (+13.75 Units / 20.49% ROI).

  • 42-19 against the Moneyline (+10.45 Units / 6.25% ROI)
  • 32-25 against the Over for game total points (+4.5 Units / 6.7% ROI)
  • 25-32 against the Under for game total points (-10.1 Units / -15.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 28-32 (-7.05 Units / -10.71% ROI).

  • 17-43 against the Moneyline (-3.75 Units / -5.84% ROI)
  • 28-32 against the Over for game total points (-7.2 Units / -10.9% ROI)
  • 32-28 against the Under for game total points (+1.25 Units / 1.9% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 59 games (-21.20 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 77 games (-19.65 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 61 games (-19.65 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-18.65 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the Spread in 12 of their last 38 games at home (-16.55 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 58 games (-17.35 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 81 games (-16.45 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 76 games (-16.05 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 81 games (-15.60 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 80 games (-15.15 Units / -17% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Thunder are undefeated (12-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

The Thunder are 29-13 (.690) when they win the turnover margin this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have averaged 15.0 turnovers per game this season — T-3rd-highest in the NBA.

The Thunder are 4-9 (.308) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Thunder are winless (0-4) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .089

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Trail Blazers were 15-31 (.326) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Trail Blazers are 2-6 (.250) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

The Trail Blazers were 14-31 (.311) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Trail Blazers are 10-23 (.303) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. ThunderWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 6

  • Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers): Groin, Out
  • Rayan Rupert (Portland Trail Blazers): Ankle, Out
  • Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Elbow, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season
  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (369/893) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (347/860) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 10.6 assists per game (551 assists/52 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,179 assists/ 775 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 51% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 51% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 19.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,017 rebounds/53 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.5

The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (352 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Thunder have averaged 8.1 steals per game (430 steals/53 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Thunder have allowed 18.5 offensive rebounds per game (2,500 rebounds/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.4

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,663 rebounds/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,401 rebounds/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers averaged 6.7 steals per game (553 steals/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.