Timberwolves vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 08, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -1.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSWI | BSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Timberwolves vs Bucks Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 25-25 against the spread, while the Bucks are 19-31 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+1.5 -120O 226.5 -110-105
Milwaukee Bucks -1.5 +100U 226.5 -110-115

Bucks vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Bucks.

Bucks vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 54.2% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 78 games (+19.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 61 games (+11.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 47 away games (+10.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+14.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 77 games (+11.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 82 games (+10.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 42 games at home (+9.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 24 games at home (+9.20 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 25-25 (-2.55 Units / -4.54% ROI).

  • 35-16 against the Moneyline (+1 Units / 0.66% ROI)
  • 24-26 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -8.19% ROI)
  • 26-24 against the Under for game total points (-0.35 Units / -0.62% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 19-31 (-15.15 Units / -26.91% ROI).

  • 33-18 against the Moneyline (-4.7 Units / -2.67% ROI)
  • 28-23 against the Over for game total points (+2.7 Units / 4.81% ROI)
  • 23-28 against the Under for game total points (-7.75 Units / -13.83% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 23 of their last 65 games (-22.15 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 58 games (-20.50 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 77 games (-19.55 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 82 games (-19.25 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 75 games (-18.80 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 80 games (-28.25 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 80 games (-23.10 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 66 games (-16.50 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 83 games (-15.70 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 16 games (-13.30 Units / -57% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Timberwolves are 2-5 (.286) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-10th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have made 14.2 three-pointers per game this season — 5th-highest in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 26-8 (.765) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Bucks have allowed 119.8 points per game this season — 7th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are winless (0-6) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .178

The Timberwolves are undefeated (8-0) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks are 46-17 (.730) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Bucks were 47-8 (.855) when scoring 110 or more points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

Injury Report: Bucks vs. TimberwolvesThursday‘s Game, Feb. 8

  • Milwaukee Bucks – No Injuries Reported
  • Mike Conley (Minnesota Timberwolves): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Game Time Decision

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,339 assists/ 768 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (643 assists/ 370 TOs) in the second half this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (635/1,622) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves shot 49% (3,515/7,167) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 1.7 second chance points per game (102 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Bucks have 26.3 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.8

The Bucks have averaged 1.44 points per shot (3,163 points/2,201 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (2,115 assists/ 1,199 TOs) last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves blocked 444 shots last season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves stole the ball 657 times last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 47% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves averaged 8.0 steals per game (657 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,147 rebounds/133 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed an eFG% of 52% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,893 rebounds/51 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.