Timberwolves vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 08, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Cavaliers are -1.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 207.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSN+ | ESPN | WUAB

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Cleveland, OH.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Timberwolves vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 207.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 31-31 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 30-30 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+1.5 -115O 207.5 -110+100
Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5 -105U 207.5 -110-120

Cavaliers vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Friday‘s game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Cavaliers.

Cavaliers vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 61.1% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 84 games (+21.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 49 of their last 78 games (+17.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 57 games (+11.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 42 of their last 73 games (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games (+9.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 37 games (+20.25 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 26 games (+15.50 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 54 games (+15.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 74 games (+14.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 58 games (+13.95 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 31-31 (-3.2 Units / -4.6% ROI).

  • 44-19 against the Moneyline (+4.15 Units / 2.03% ROI)
  • 30-32 against the Over for game total points (-5.2 Units / -7.5% ROI)
  • 32-30 against the Under for game total points (-0.95 Units / -1.37% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 30-30 (-2.9 Units / -4.26% ROI).

  • 40-22 against the Moneyline (+11.6 Units / 8.19% ROI)
  • 26-35 against the Over for game total points (-12.5 Units / -18.32% ROI)
  • 35-26 against the Under for game total points (+6.45 Units / 9.46% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 37 games (-23.05 Units / -58% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 82 games (-21.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 74 games (-21.50 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 74 games (-20.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 28 games (-18.30 Units / -59% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 84 games (-30.50 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 78 games (-25.00 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 57 games (-17.50 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 78 games (-17.25 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 76 games (-17.00 Units / -7% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Timberwolves are undefeated (8-0) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Timberwolves are 18-6 (.750) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Timberwolves are 2-5 (.286) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

The Timberwolves were 5-8 (.385) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Cavaliers are 25-6 (.806) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Cavaliers are 17-10 (.630) when they win the turnover margin this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Timberwolves have averaged 14.6 turnovers per game this season — 8th-highest in the NBA.

The Cavaliers are 29-3 (.906) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .817

The Cavaliers are 16-3 (.842) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .746

Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. TimberwolvesFriday‘s Game, Mar. 8

  • Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Tristan Thompson (Cleveland Cavaliers): Suspension, Out
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Out
  • Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (336/857) in the second half this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves averaged 54.2 points in the paint per game (4,446 points/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Timberwolves averaged 14.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,222 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

The Timberwolves have averaged 15.3 offensive rebounds per game (810 rebounds/53 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.5

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 9.0 fast break points per game (466 points/52 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Cavaliers averaged 112.3 points per game (9,205 points/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers shot 49% (3,408/6,984) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Cavaliers averaged 15.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,233 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 47% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 48% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (752 blocks/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Timberwolves averaged 5.4 blocks per game (444 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/52 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Cavaliers have allowed an eFG% of 51% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Cavaliers averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,745 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers allowed 52.1 points per game (4,269 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 56.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.