Timberwolves vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 10, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -7.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBSB | BSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Boston, MA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Celtics Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 17-18 against the spread, while the Celtics are 18-16 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+9.5 -110O 223.5 -105+340
Boston Celtics -9.5 -110U 223.5 -115-450

Celtics vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Wednesday‘s game with 74.4% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Timberwolves and Celtics, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Celtics vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • Away – Positive ATS Trends
  • Home – Positive ATS Trends

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 17-18 (-2.8 Units / -7.07% ROI).

  • 26-10 against the Moneyline (+13.85 Units / 16.95% ROI)
  • 18-17 against the Over for game total points (-0.7 Units / -1.77% ROI)
  • 17-18 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units / -7.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 18-16 (+0.45 Units / 1.13% ROI).

  • 28-8 against the Moneyline (+12.35 Units / 8.68% ROI)
  • 20-16 against the Over for game total points (+2.4 Units / 6.06% ROI)
  • 16-20 against the Under for game total points (-6 Units / -15.15% ROI)
  • Home – Negative ATS Trends
  • Away – Negative ATS Trends

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Timberwolves are 5-1 (.833) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-4th-best in the NBA. The Celtics have allowed 13.8 made three-pointers per game this season — 8th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 1-4 (.200) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Celtics have made 16.1 three-pointers per game this season — highest in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are undefeated (7-0) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

The Timberwolves are 10-2 (.833) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .672

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Celtics were 22-1 (.957) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Celtics are 26-5 (.839) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Celtics were 25-1 (.962) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Celtics are undefeated (9-0) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .590

Injury Report: Celtics vs. TimberwolvesWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 10

  • Kristaps Porzingis (Boston Celtics): Calf, Game Time Decision
  • Jaden McDaniels (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Out
  • Jordan McLaughlin (Minnesota Timberwolves): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (419 assists/ 257 TOs) at home this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (435/1,144) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have a TS% of 52% this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have made 16.1 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

The Celtics have made 16.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Celtics have made 16.4 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (1,647 points/1,448 shots) at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 51% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves averaged 8.0 steals per game (657 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Timberwolves stole the ball 657 times last season — 5th most among NBA teams

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (1,962 points/1,685 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,503 rebounds/118 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 38.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,391 rebounds/36 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.