Timberwolves vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 16

  • The Timberwolves are -7.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on KJZZ | BSN+

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Salt Lake City, UT.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Timberwolves vs Jazz Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 32-33 against the spread, while the Jazz are 36-30 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves-7.5 -115O 223.5 -115-375
Utah Jazz +7.5 -105U 223.5 -105+290

Jazz vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Saturday‘s game with 81.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Jazz.

Jazz vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.8% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games (+17.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 81 games (+14.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 48 of their last 81 games (+10.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 76 games (+10.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 away games (+8.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 41 games at home (+15.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 79 games (+13.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+11.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games (+11.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+10.50 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 32-33 (-4.4 Units / -6.05% ROI).

  • 45-21 against the Moneyline (+3.15 Units / 1.53% ROI)
  • 34-32 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -1.65% ROI)
  • 32-34 against the Under for game total points (-5.4 Units / -7.44% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 36-30 (+3.05 Units / 4.2% ROI).

  • 29-37 against the Moneyline (-3.45 Units / -3.94% ROI)
  • 37-27 against the Over for game total points (+7.3 Units / 10.06% ROI)
  • 27-37 against the Under for game total points (-13.7 Units / -18.87% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 77 games (-27.80 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 79 games (-24.70 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 66 games (-24.45 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 79 games (-20.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 71 games (-20.45 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 82 games (-28.85 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 81 games (-25.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 81 games (-22.65 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 60 games (-16.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 71 games (-16.15 Units / -11% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Timberwolves are 19-6 (.760) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three this season — worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 27-3 (.900) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 48% this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 19-5 (.792) when they win the turnover margin this season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Jazz have averaged 15.5 turnovers per game this season — T-highest in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 13-5 (.722) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Jazz are 5-1 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Jazz are winless (0-4) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394

The Jazz were 1-9 (.100) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Jazz are 7-13 (.350) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

Injury Report: Jazz vs. TimberwolvesSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 16

  • Otto Porter Jr. (Utah Jazz): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves had an eFG% of 56% last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Timberwolves are shooting 43% (221/513) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (667/1,697) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 15.9 turnovers per game (857 turnovers/54 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz have averaged 7.8 turnovers per game (423 turnovers/54 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Jazz have averaged 8.0 second chance points per game (1,091 points/136 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Jazz have averaged 8.8 second chance points per game (474 points/54 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 48% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (2,463 points/2,111 shots) at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

The Timberwolves averaged 8.0 steals per game (657 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 47% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have allowed 19.9 fast break points per game (1,394 points/70 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.5

The Jazz averaged 6.1 steals per game (500 steals/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Jazz have allowed 22.0 fast break points per game (637 points/29 games) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.8

The Jazz allowed 16.8 fast break points per game (1,377 points/82 games) last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.