Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 28, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks are -1.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 210.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | truTV

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Dallas, TX.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Mavericks Over/Under is 211.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 48-47 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 58-39 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+1.5 -110O 211.5 -110+100
Dallas Mavericks -1.5 -110U 211.5 -110-120

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Tuesday‘s game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 46 away games (+16.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 52 of their last 84 games (+16.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 70 games (+15.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 46 away games (+14.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 41 away games (+9.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 34 of their last 48 games (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 68 games (+15.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+15.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 35 games (+14.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 48-47 (-3.8 Units / -3.59% ROI).

  • 64-32 against the Moneyline (+8.25 Units / 2.67% ROI)
  • 51-45 against the Over for game total points (+1.5 Units / 1.42% ROI)
  • 45-51 against the Under for game total points (-11.1 Units / -10.51% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 58-39 (+15.1 Units / 14.17% ROI).

  • 61-36 against the Moneyline (+10.4 Units / 5.15% ROI)
  • 45-52 against the Over for game total points (-12.2 Units / -11.43% ROI)
  • 52-45 against the Under for game total points (+2.5 Units / 2.34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 97 games (-30.90 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 70 games (-25.75 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 74 games (-22.60 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 19 games at home (-22.55 Units / -66% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-17.70 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 87 games (-30.25 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 89 games (-26.40 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 70 games (-25.30 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 90 games (-21.80 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 89 games (-21.35 Units / -14% ROI)

Jump to:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

Keys to the game – away

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

Keys to the game – home

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. TimberwolvesTuesday‘s Game, May 28

  • Greg Brown (Dallas Mavericks): Personal, Game Time Decision
  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Foot, Game Time Decision
  • PJ Washington (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Dereck Lively II (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Jones Jr. (Dallas Mavericks): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
  • Daniel Gafford (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Game Time Decision
  • Kyrie Irving (Dallas Mavericks): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Luka Doncic (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out For Season

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 43% (368/853) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves averaged 54.2 points in the paint per game (4,446 points/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves shot 49% (3,515/7,167) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (496 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Mavericks averaged 20.1 points in the paint per game (1,646 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

The Mavericks averaged 10.3 second chance points per game (423 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 7.9 steals per game (647 steals/82 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 52% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves averaged 5.4 blocks per game (444 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks allowed 11.1 made three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.