Timberwolves vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 07, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pacers are -1.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSN | BSIN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Pacers Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 30-31 against the spread, while the Pacers are 33-28 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+1.5 -110O 228.5 -110+100
Indiana Pacers -1.5 -110U 228.5 -110-120

Pacers vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Thursday‘s game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Pacers.

Pacers vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 83 games (+20.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 48 of their last 77 games (+16.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 42 of their last 72 games (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games (+10.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 77 games (+9.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 29 games (+16.50 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 80 games (+15.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games at home (+13.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 3Q Spread in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 41 of their last 70 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 30-31 (-4.2 Units / -6.13% ROI).

  • 43-19 against the Moneyline (+3.15 Units / 1.55% ROI)
  • 30-31 against the Over for game total points (-4.1 Units / -6.01% ROI)
  • 31-30 against the Under for game total points (-1.95 Units / -2.86% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 33-28 (+2.2 Units / 3.13% ROI).

  • 35-29 against the Moneyline (-3.75 Units / -3.16% ROI)
  • 33-29 against the Over for game total points (+1.05 Units / 1.49% ROI)
  • 29-33 against the Under for game total points (-7.25 Units / -10.31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 53 games (-25.30 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 80 games (-22.75 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-20.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 37 games (-19.30 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 39 games at home (-18.55 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 85 games (-29.45 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 77 games (-23.90 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 77 games (-18.25 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 75 games (-18.00 Units / -7% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 56 games (-16.40 Units / -27% ROI)

Jump to:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Timberwolves are 26-3 (.897) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 51% this season — worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 28-8 (.778) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .642

The Timberwolves are 12-4 (.750) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Timberwolves were 16-2 (.889) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Pacers were 1-3 (.250) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Pacers were 13-26 (.333) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Pacers are 2-7 (.222) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Pacers are 15-7 (.682) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

Injury Report: Pacers vs. TimberwolvesThursday‘s Game, Mar. 7

  • Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 40% from three (363/918) on the road this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (667/1,697) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (336/857) in the second half this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pacers have averaged 30.9 assists per game (1,698 assists/55 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Pacers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (1,698 assists/ 745 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pacers have an eFG% of 58% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 48% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 47% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,943 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Timberwolves have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (899/2,111) at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,805 rebounds/55 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pacers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,535 rebounds/137 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers averaged 5.8 blocks per game (478 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.