Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -10.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on KENS | BSN+

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Antonio, TX.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Spurs Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 22-22 against the spread, while the Spurs are 22-23 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves-10.5 -110O 227.5 -105-550
San Antonio Spurs +10.5 -110U 227.5 -115+400

Spurs vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Saturday‘s game with 86.4% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Timberwolves and Spurs, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Spurs vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 44 away games (+16.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+15.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 38 of their last 60 games (+14.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 55 games (+11.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 31 games at home (+16.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 64 games (+15.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 67 games (+14.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games at home (+10.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+10.00 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 22-22 (-2.2 Units / -4.44% ROI).

  • 32-13 against the Moneyline (+7.2 Units / 5.53% ROI)
  • 22-22 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -4.44% ROI)
  • 22-22 against the Under for game total points (-2.15 Units / -4.35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 22-23 (-3.2 Units / -6.48% ROI).

  • 9-36 against the Moneyline (-21.75 Units / -45.89% ROI)
  • 26-18 against the Over for game total points (+6.2 Units / 12.53% ROI)
  • 18-26 against the Under for game total points (-10.6 Units / -21.41% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 40 games (-27.05 Units / -65% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 78 games (-23.75 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 70 games (-22.45 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-21.05 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 64 games (-21.00 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 74 games (-23.65 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 74 games (-20.60 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 77 games (-15.30 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 60 games (-14.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 56 games (-12.95 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Timberwolves are 21-2 (.913) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-7th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 10-3 (.769) when they win the turnover margin this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .535

The Timberwolves are 14-7 (.667) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Timberwolves were 17-13 (.567) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs were 1-44 (.022) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Spurs are 2-26 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Spurs are 1-7 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .415

Injury Report: Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 27

  • Sir’Jabari Rice (San Antonio Spurs): Undisclosed, Game Time Decision
  • Jaden McDaniels (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Out
  • Jordan McLaughlin (Minnesota Timberwolves): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (2,145 assists/ 1,258 TOs) last season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Timberwolves averaged 1.32 points per shot (9,494 points/7,167 shots) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Timberwolves averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 15.2 turnovers per game (685 turnovers/45 games) this season — 3rd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have a 23% free throw rate (2,657 free throw attempts/11,707 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

The Spurs are shooting 33% from three (276/838) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs have averaged 1.24 points per shot (7,004 points/5,668 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Spurs had 21.2 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,656 rebounds/45 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 51% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (265 blocks/45 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Timberwolves averaged 8.0 steals per game (657 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (517/1,300) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Spurs have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (265 blocks/45 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.