Trail Blazers vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Grizzlies are -2.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 208.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSM | RTNW

The Portland Trail Blazers visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis, TN.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Trail Blazers vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 208.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 26-32 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 29-31 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers+2.5 -115O 208.5 -105+115
Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 -105U 208.5 -115-140

Grizzlies vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Saturday‘s game with 60.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 57 games (+14.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 48 games (+14.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+10.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 34 away games (+10.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games (+9.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 87 games (+19.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 35 games at home (+17.95 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games (+17.20 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 26-32 (-9.05 Units / -14.24% ROI).

  • 16-42 against the Moneyline (-3.9 Units / -6.27% ROI)
  • 27-31 against the Over for game total points (-7.1 Units / -11.12% ROI)
  • 31-27 against the Under for game total points (+1.35 Units / 2.12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 29-31 (-5.05 Units / -7.65% ROI).

  • 20-40 against the Moneyline (-0.65 Units / -0.92% ROI)
  • 27-33 against the Over for game total points (-9.3 Units / -14.09% ROI)
  • 33-27 against the Under for game total points (+3.3 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 87 games (-28.05 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 75 games (-25.85 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 86 games (-22.10 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 82 games (-21.25 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 43 games at home (-18.05 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 75 games (-21.65 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 57 games (-21.15 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 59 games (-19.75 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 48 games (-18.55 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 64 games (-15.70 Units / -22% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Trail Blazers are 1-7 (.125) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Trail Blazers were 15-31 (.326) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Trail Blazers are 9-18 (.333) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Trail Blazers are 7-9 (.438) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Grizzlies are winless (0-18) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are winless (0-12) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Grizzlies are 7-1 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — T-4th-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 2

  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out
  • Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers): Groin, Out
  • Rayan Rupert (Portland Trail Blazers): Ankle, Out
  • Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Elbow, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,179 assists/ 775 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 51% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers have averaged 10.6 assists per game (551 assists/52 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

The Trail Blazers have averaged 1.22 points per shot (2,748 points/2,254 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies have averaged 106.7 points per game (5,762 points/54 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5

The Grizzlies are shooting 44% (2,091/4,767) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies have averaged 103.9 points per game (2,598 points/25 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.7

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,663 rebounds/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,401 rebounds/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 7.8 steals per game (405 steals/52 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,022 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies allowed opponents to shoot 45% (3,340/7,365) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,645/3,735) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies blocked 473 shots last season — 3rd most among NBA teams


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